NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	104		Excitement	6.2 [586]		MVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): +22.8%
Brooklyn Nets	98		Comeback	2.2 [744]		LVP	Joe Johnson (BKN): -14.6%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwyane Wade	0.23	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.23	0.15	0.10	0.02	17	78%	0.30	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Justise Winslow	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.05	-0.00	5	110%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Whiteside	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.02	0.01	10	71%	0.17	2	-0.07	8	75%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.00	0.06	-0.03	15	47%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Beno Udrih	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	11	54%	0.07	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Udonis Haslem	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.03	-0.00	7	35%	0.01	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Tyler Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	6	36%	-0.03	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donald Sloan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.09	0.00	2	100%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.05	0.00	14	61%	0.19	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.02
Brook Lopez	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.17	-0.03	0.04	16	74%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	11	43%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Willie Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Markel Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	13	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	13	31%	-0.07	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	9	28%	-0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.4	28.5	15.4	23.9	1.8	34.4	127.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +50.1%

MIA +2.3%

MIA +5.8%

BKN -13.2%

MIA +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	BKN	NBA	MIA	BKN	NBA
this game	16.1	15.5	14.9	114.3	107.7	105.1
season	15.5	15.0		104.5	101.9
opponent	14.8	15.1		109.3	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	19.4	14.5	15.9	15.2	16.1
BKN	15.9	15.5	15.4	15.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Bosh	58	58	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.15	11	-5	16	16.9	14.7	2.26	15.0	16.5	-1.44
Goran Dragic	69	69	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.34	4	2	2	15.9	16.7	-0.81	15.6	15.4	0.23
Luol Deng	69	67	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.44	0	6	-6	15.9	16.6	-0.69	15.6	15.3	0.28
Justise Winslow	64	65	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.20	8	-2	10	14.8	19.1	-4.32	15.6	15.3	0.27
Dwyane Wade	58	58	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.31	-1	7	-8	16.2	15.9	0.32	15.6	15.4	0.18
Gerald Green	39	39	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.02	8	-2	10	15.6	16.5	-0.82	15.1	15.8	-0.72
Udonis Haslem	22	24	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.11	6	0	6	16.6	15.9	0.69	15.3	15.6	-0.28
Tyler Johnson	11	10	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	3	0	16.4	16.1	0.29	14.7	15.6	-0.94
Hassan Whiteside	54	53	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.29	-8	14	-22	17.0	14.9	2.10	16.2	14.6	1.69
Beno Udrih	11	12	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	7	-8	17.1	16.0	1.12	15.9	15.5	0.44

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Reed	16	14	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.02	7	-13	20	15.9	15.5	0.41	16.7	16.0	0.71
Andrea Bargnani	41	40	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.05	0	-6	6	15.4	15.7	-0.27	15.4	16.6	-1.18
Donald Sloan	24	23	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.13	-6	0	-6	16.4	15.2	1.14	16.3	16.1	0.20
Thomas Robinson	5	4	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.01	-2	-4	2	14.4	15.6	-1.20	10.5	16.4	-5.87
Bojan Bogdanovic	74	74	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.18	4	-10	14	15.4	16.3	-0.93	16.6	14.0	2.59
Markel Brown	9	8	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.04	-8	2	-10	14.6	15.6	-1.09	14.1	16.3	-2.18
Wayne Ellington	51	49	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.13	-9	3	-12	16.1	14.8	1.32	15.2	17.1	-1.87
Jarrett Jack	67	68	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.46	0	-6	6	15.2	16.4	-1.14	16.1	16.3	-0.20
Brook Lopez	51	54	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.40	-3	-3	0	15.6	15.5	0.07	16.4	15.7	0.69
Thaddeus Young	56	57	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.37	-4	-2	-2	15.5	15.6	-0.15	16.4	15.6	0.74
Joe Johnson	61	64	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.29	-9	3	-12	15.5	15.5	0.01	16.6	14.9	1.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.17,0.19,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 105, BOS 91	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.56,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0	92.6%
DEN 101, DET 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.2,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.1,0,0	92.5%
NOH 90, BOS 78	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.43,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.14,0.17,0.28,0.33,0.19,0.18,0.3,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.17,0.29,0.13,0.08,0.01,0,0,0	92.5%