inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 101 Excitement6.3 [532] MVPTy Lawson (DEN): +23.7%
Detroit Pistons 94 Comeback3.4 [617] LVPGreg Monroe (DET): -21.9%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ty Lawson0.240,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.240.130.10-0.001762%0.2400.00887%0.03
Corey Brewer0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.100.06-0.001168%0.1700.0000%0.00
Andre Miller0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.130.060.100.024100%0.223-0.093100%0.03
Kosta Koufos0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.030.04-0.00756%0.0700.00250%-0.01
JaVale McGee0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.02-0.02960%0.071-0.0420%-0.05
Timofey Mozgov0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.010.040.00440%0.0300.0020%-0.03
Danilo Gallinari-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03-0.080.03-0.011332%-0.011-0.022100%0.01
Kenneth Faried-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01130%-0.0300.00837%-0.03
Anthony Randolph-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.0120%-0.031-0.0100%0.00
Andre Iguodala-0.090,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.02-0.021239%-0.033-0.05771%-0.02

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Maxiell0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.060.060.040.01-0.011156%0.101-0.041060%0.00
Andre Drummond0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.00470%0.051-0.03250%-0.01
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.00-0.03944%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Brandon Knight0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.07-0.030.041659%0.041-0.042100%0.01
Will Bynum00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rodney Stuckey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.01-0.011259%0.155-0.165100%0.04
Corey Maggette0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00450%0.031-0.05450%-0.02
Kyle Singler0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.00-0.011235%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
Charlie Villanueva0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.00437%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Greg Monroe0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.22-0.19-0.06-0.03925%-0.105-0.12667%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.22.529.417.426.32.437.6142.8
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +40.4%
DEN +0.9%
DET -20.9%
DEN +28.5%
DEN +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENDETNBADENDETNBA
this game14.714.815.4104.195.9104.1
season14.415.7108.4102.3
opponent15.515.4106.6104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN16.514.613.913.914.7
DET12.515.416.115.514.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ty Lawson82810.60-0.100.710.3110-31314.615.0-0.3514.914.60.30
Danilo Gallinari61590.430.070.360.3143114.914.30.5814.515.4-0.95
Andre Miller62630.420.080.330.1210-31314.415.2-0.7415.014.60.41
Andre Iguodala73740.300.200.100.2134-113.917.0-3.0515.213.71.55
Kenneth Faried46470.270.230.040.1834-113.915.4-1.5015.614.21.42
Timofey Mozgov20210.260.240.03-0.1213-61917.613.93.7113.915.1-1.25
JaVale McGee39400.160.34-0.180.0734-113.715.4-1.6415.614.31.29
Corey Brewer47500.110.39-0.280.0816-515.813.72.1114.315.4-1.14
Kosta Koufos34340.030.47-0.440.32-1017-2714.614.8-0.2214.814.9-0.07
Anthony Randolph2121-0.090.59-0.67-0.03-29-1116.214.31.9613.215.3-2.10

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Will Bynum54-0.15-0.350.200.02-6-1-512.814.9-2.1517.214.62.66
Charlie Villanueva3233-0.16-0.340.18-0.160-7714.115.2-1.1514.814.70.13
Kyle Singler6060-0.17-0.330.16-0.263-101314.415.6-1.2114.515.1-0.57
Corey Maggette3332-0.18-0.320.150.00-6-1-515.614.51.1115.114.50.54
Greg Monroe5556-0.25-0.250.01-0.281-8914.515.3-0.7913.816.0-2.21
Andre Drummond4341-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.02-81-915.314.50.7916.013.82.21
Tayshaun Prince6565-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.29-1-6514.515.6-1.1114.515.1-0.54
Rodney Stuckey5454-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.10-81-915.214.40.8615.114.20.88
Jason Maxiell6664-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.13-70-715.214.11.1514.714.8-0.13
Brandon Knight7776-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.26-3-4115.114.01.0614.515.6-1.11


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.2,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.1,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 95, CLE 890.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.65,0.64,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.21,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.06,0.1,0.02,092.7%
MIA 104, BKN 980.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.17,0.19,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.08,092.5%
ORL 97, HOU 920.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.61,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.08,0.1,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,092.1%