inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Hornets 90 Excitement5.6 [665] MVPRobin Lopez (NOH): +10.5%
Boston Celtics 78 Comeback2.6 [119] LVPRajon Rondo (BOS): -18.4%


New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Robin Lopez0.110,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.050.060.011165%0.162-0.05475%-0.01
Anthony Davis0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.060.01-0.02583%0.111-0.022100%0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu0.060,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.02-0.00958%0.102-0.051392%0.05
Jason Smith0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.00-0.014100%0.082-0.0300%0.00
Austin Rivers0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.010.04-0.00650%0.0500.00450%-0.02
Brian Roberts0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.00-0.01333%0.0100.0000%0.00
Donald Sloan0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lance Thomas-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Xavier Henry-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Roger Mason Jr.-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.01425%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Greivis Vasquez-0.120,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.14-0.00-0.021641%0.016-0.13580%-0.02
Ryan Anderson-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.05-0.070.031140%-0.092-0.063100%0.00

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.02-0.021060%0.101-0.0200%0.00
Jeff Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.01-0.03440%0.031-0.0220%-0.00
Brandon Bass0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.020.00664%0.031-0.03250%-0.01
Leandro Barbosa0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.060.000.06487%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Collins00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kevin Garnett0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.001258%0.093-0.09250%-0.01
Jared Sullinger0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.01-0.01540%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Avery Bradley0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.01440%-0.0300.0020%-0.04
Courtney Lee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.03-0.00533%-0.051-0.022100%0.02
Paul Pierce0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.11-0.07-0.011634%-0.102-0.07333%-0.03
Rajon Rondo0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.12-0.08-0.02837%-0.025-0.16333%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.42.528.515.626.92.730.2129.9
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOH +6.4%
NOH +23.9%
NOH +18.0%
NOH +3.6%
BOS -2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOHBOSNBANOHBOSNBA
this game16.715.115.4100.085.7104.1
season16.314.9103.9101.2
opponent16.215.6101.7108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOH15.817.117.916.216.7
BOS14.814.216.415.115.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Al-Farouq Aminu50520.65-0.150.790.1218-62416.716.8-0.0715.814.21.61
Greivis Vasquez79780.53-0.030.550.23102816.816.30.5215.015.5-0.42
Roger Mason Jr.49490.430.070.370.111111016.217.4-1.2115.314.90.40
Jason Smith31340.360.140.22-0.0514-21616.816.70.0616.414.42.00
Robin Lopez51500.340.160.170.0793616.117.6-1.5114.715.6-0.97
Ryan Anderson47480.190.31-0.12-0.0584416.716.8-0.0715.115.1-0.03
Anthony Davis51500.100.40-0.290.31-719-2617.415.91.5214.715.6-0.89
Austin Rivers42430.070.43-0.350.04111-1017.416.11.3014.815.4-0.54
Brian Roberts880.050.45-0.39-0.0648-417.616.60.9816.914.91.95
Xavier Henry3333-0.000.50-0.51-0.00012-1216.516.9-0.3915.514.90.61
Lance Thomas77-0.100.60-0.700.05-517-2217.416.70.7510.615.5-4.90
Donald Sloan23-0.120.61-0.73-0.03-315-1812.016.8-4.847.315.4-8.03

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Collins12100.11-0.610.71-0.045-17228.816.1-7.2215.016.9-1.95
Leandro Barbosa66-0.01-0.490.49-0.041-131410.215.4-5.2815.716.8-1.14
Brandon Bass6460-0.13-0.370.24-0.161-131415.514.11.3516.317.6-1.35
Courtney Lee3028-0.19-0.310.12-0.04-5-7215.714.80.9516.716.8-0.08
Jason Terry4342-0.19-0.310.120.04-8-4-416.913.53.3417.815.82.02
Jeff Green4644-0.19-0.310.11-0.11-3-9615.614.61.0317.316.21.10
Jared Sullinger3739-0.20-0.300.11-0.14-2-10814.615.4-0.8017.416.31.10
Avery Bradley4343-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.07-8-4-414.315.9-1.6015.617.8-2.21
Paul Pierce5959-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.01-10-2-814.715.9-1.2016.517.1-0.55
Rajon Rondo6264-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.17-5-7214.616.2-1.6316.916.40.49
Kevin Garnett5355-0.770.27-1.04-0.01-2614-4016.513.23.2416.916.50.45


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.43,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.14,0.17,0.28,0.33,0.19,0.18,0.3,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.17,0.29,0.13,0.08,0.01,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 98, SAS 810.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.23,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.19,0.29,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.04,0,0,0,0,092.6%
OKC 102, PHX 900.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.15,0.24,0.19,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.17,0.23,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,092.6%
MIA 104, BKN 980.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.17,0.19,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.08,092.5%