NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	102		Excitement	6.0 [592]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +26.6%
Phoenix Suns	90		Comeback	2.0 [818]		LVP	Michael Beasley (PHX): -15.7%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.27	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.21	0.12	0.06	30	59%	0.27	0	0.00	9	100%	0.05
Russell Westbrook	0.26	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.20	0.08	0.02	24	63%	0.27	1	-0.01	9	78%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Perry Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	12	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Liggins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Kendrick Perkins	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	5	42%	-0.01	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.00	0.04	9	78%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.02	-0.00	15	68%	0.16	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.02	16	49%	0.02	1	-0.00	7	71%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	10	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.04	0.01	11	29%	-0.11	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	0.00	0.05	14	41%	-0.07	4	-0.09	6	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.0	32.2	16.3	28.6	2.6	27.2	130.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +37.2%

OKC +10.7%

PHX -5.3%

OKC +4.5%

OKC +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	PHX	NBA	OKC	PHX	NBA
this game	15.6	15.4	15.4	109.7	96.8	104.1
season	14.8	15.2		109.3	99.7
opponent	15.1	15.5		106.3	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	17.3	13.5	14.1	17.6	15.6
PHX	14.0	15.3	17.2	15.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thabo Sefolosha	56	57	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.03	20	-8	28	14.3	17.5	-3.27	15.2	15.6	-0.39
Russell Westbrook	72	71	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.13	14	-2	16	14.7	18.6	-3.88	15.5	15.1	0.40
Kevin Durant	85	82	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.13	12	0	12	15.1	20.1	-4.98	15.7	13.0	2.72
Kevin Martin	62	60	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.01	13	-1	14	15.5	15.6	-0.06	16.3	13.8	2.50
Kendrick Perkins	58	57	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.17	4	8	-4	15.4	15.9	-0.55	15.2	15.7	-0.53
Hasheem Thabeet	40	41	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.02	6	6	0	16.0	15.2	0.84	15.8	15.1	0.68
Nick Collison	31	31	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.06	0	12	-12	15.5	15.6	-0.08	15.0	15.6	-0.65
Perry Jones	13	15	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.04	2	10	-8	19.0	15.0	3.99	12.3	16.0	-3.65
Jeremy Lamb	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	12	-12	20.0	15.5	4.53	9.5	15.5	-6.03
Reggie Jackson	21	22	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	14	-16	18.6	14.7	3.88	15.1	15.5	-0.40
DeAndre Liggins	25	27	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.22	-9	21	-30	17.6	14.8	2.83	15.3	15.5	-0.20

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Markieff Morris	31	31	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-9	6	16.3	15.0	1.29	16.3	15.2	1.03
Goran Dragic	65	65	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-8	4	14.9	16.6	-1.73	15.9	14.9	0.97
Michael Beasley	47	48	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-7	2	15.4	15.4	-0.07	16.8	14.2	2.61
PJ Tucker	55	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	-3	-6	15.2	15.7	-0.44	14.6	17.0	-2.42
Luis Scola	53	54	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.06	-9	-3	-6	15.8	14.9	0.87	14.5	17.1	-2.64
Marcin Gortat	91	90	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.16	-7	-5	-2	15.3	20.5	-5.21	15.7	12.0	3.69
Sebastian Telfair	39	39	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.07	-13	1	-14	15.3	15.4	-0.11	15.8	15.4	0.39
Shannon Brown	84	83	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	-2	-8	15.5	14.1	1.42	15.5	16.2	-0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.15,0.24,0.19,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.17,0.23,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 87, PHI 77	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.25,0.15,0.12,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.05,0.03,0,0,0	93.3%
IND 119, CLE 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.37,0.28,0.24,0.12,0.18,0.1,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	93.3%
OKC 96, SAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.19,0.1,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.06,0.27,0	93.1%