NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	87		Excitement	5.5 [706]		MVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): +9.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	77		Comeback	1.6 [775]		LVP	Jamaal Tinsley (IND): -18.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jermaine O'Neal	0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.03	-0.01	19	56%	0.10	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Reggie Miller	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	11	56%	0.04	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Al Harrington	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Rogers	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	8	69%	0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	2	67%	0.01	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Rose	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	0.03	20	55%	0.03	4	-0.12	7	71%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.04	-0.01	8	20%	-0.15	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Speedy Claxton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	-0.02	-0.00	15	77%	0.13	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	17	57%	0.08	1	-0.05	10	90%	0.02
Damone Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	9	37%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	11	46%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tim James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	2	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Raja Bell	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	10	36%	-0.07	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	4	30%	-0.05	5	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.3	28.6	15.4	25.4	2.4	31.5	129.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +21.2%

IND +10.7%

IND +0.5%

IND +13.1%

IND +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHI	NBA	IND	PHI	NBA
this game	16.5	17.6	15.6	103.6	90.6	102.3
season	15.3	15.9		101.6	99.3
opponent	15.6	15.4		98.2	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.2	14.4	17.5	19.4	16.5
PHI	16.7	16.2	17.6	20.6	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Rose	74	74	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.24	11	-1	12	16.9	13.7	3.16	18.1	14.4	3.70
Austin Croshere	53	53	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.18	12	-2	14	16.6	16.3	0.36	18.0	17.0	0.99
Travis Best	42	40	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.08	14	-4	18	17.4	15.5	1.88	18.3	17.0	1.34
Jermaine O'Neal	70	71	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.27	2	8	-6	16.6	16.1	0.50	17.9	16.0	1.90
Al Harrington	27	28	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.06	9	1	8	15.3	17.1	-1.81	16.1	18.3	-2.26
Reggie Miller	63	65	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.17	0	10	-10	16.1	17.6	-1.44	17.6	17.6	-0.08
Jeff Foster	35	36	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	5	0	16.3	16.6	-0.25	16.7	18.3	-1.60
Jamaal Tinsley	46	48	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.20	-4	14	-18	16.2	16.8	-0.55	17.2	18.1	-0.97
Carlos Rogers	10	10	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.00	1	9	-8	15.7	16.6	-0.89	16.7	17.7	-1.01

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim James	15	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-11	12	18.1	17.5	0.58	14.0	16.9	-2.90
Damone Brown	1	1	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-8	6	0.0	17.8	-17.80	3.0	16.7	-13.65
Corie Blount	47	43	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-6	2	16.9	18.4	-1.46	15.7	17.3	-1.57
Dikembe Mutombo	41	42	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.21	1	-11	12	19.4	15.9	3.48	17.6	15.3	2.31
Matt Geiger	12	14	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.05	-10	0	-10	16.3	17.8	-1.46	16.1	16.6	-0.50
Raja Bell	65	66	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.16	-3	-7	4	17.2	18.7	-1.52	16.2	17.6	-1.36
Vonteego Cummings	42	41	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-5	0	17.1	18.1	-0.97	16.0	16.9	-0.91
Derrick Coleman	69	68	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.22	-5	-5	0	17.4	18.2	-0.82	16.5	16.2	0.29
Speedy Claxton	66	64	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.19	-10	0	-10	17.8	16.7	1.16	16.9	15.2	1.69
Matt Harpring	67	69	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.13	-13	3	-16	17.9	16.5	1.38	17.1	13.7	3.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.25,0.15,0.12,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.05,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 113, SAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.41,0.34,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.07,0,0,0,0	94.4%
IND 114, CHI 105	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.13,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.17,0.08,0.05,0.02,0,0	93.5%
SAS 100, LAL 81	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.27,0.23,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.13,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.5%