NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	114		Excitement	5.4 [710]		MVP	Derrick McKey (IND): +14.7%
Chicago Bulls	105		Comeback	1.9 [139]		LVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): -14.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick McKey	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.04	0.00	6	100%	0.17	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.03	0.01	12	73%	0.15	1	-0.03	6	67%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.00	0.02	9	74%	0.08	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Jalen Rose	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	11	61%	0.06	0	0.00	14	86%	0.02
Dale Davis	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	9	56%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mullin	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	6	46%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Travis Best	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.04	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Rik Smits	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	7	44%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Mark Jackson	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	0.00	-0.01	8	45%	-0.01	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.05	0.01	6	86%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.02	0.04	18	62%	0.08	0	0.00	9	78%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	3	87%	0.04	0	0.00	10	80%	-0.01
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Booth	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Kleine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bill Wennington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	11	54%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	6	31%	-0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Michael Jordan	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	19	52%	-0.01	4	-0.13	14	86%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.4	23.4	15.4	32.2	2.5	34.5	137.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +41.1%

CHI -0.2%

IND +3.1%

IND +0.4%

IND +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHI	NBA	IND	CHI	NBA
this game	15.8	15.5	15.6	123.9	114.1	102.5
season	16.0	16.2		105.3	105.8
opponent	15.8	16.1		97.9	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.4	17.6	17.2	14.6	15.8
CHI	13.3	18.4	14.8	16.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick McKey	49	48	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.07	12	-3	15	15.3	16.5	-1.22	16.6	14.3	2.29
Antonio Davis	69	69	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.24	6	3	3	15.1	18.1	-3.00	15.4	15.5	-0.07
Mark Jackson	59	59	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.14	8	1	7	14.4	18.3	-3.89	15.0	16.2	-1.21
Reggie Miller	69	70	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.16	7	2	5	14.7	19.4	-4.74	15.4	15.6	-0.16
Dale Davis	61	61	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.10	8	1	7	16.6	14.4	2.19	15.1	16.2	-1.14
Jalen Rose	54	53	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.25	1	8	-7	16.9	14.3	2.55	15.6	15.3	0.23
Travis Best	33	33	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	8	-7	18.3	14.4	3.89	16.2	15.0	1.21
Rik Smits	30	31	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.02	4	5	-1	17.0	15.3	1.78	15.8	15.3	0.56
Chris Mullin	36	36	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.15	-2	11	-13	16.5	15.4	1.09	14.3	16.2	-1.91

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Kerr	39	40	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.26	12	-21	33	13.9	16.6	-2.64	17.4	14.7	2.72
Jud Buechler	15	15	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-12	15	14.3	15.7	-1.43	15.9	15.8	0.12
Keith Booth	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-9	9	7.0	15.7	-8.66	6.5	16.0	-9.54
Bill Wennington	49	47	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	-3	-3	16.4	14.4	2.06	15.2	16.5	-1.23
Joe Kleine	4	4	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	-2	-5	22.2	15.2	7.09	9.2	16.1	-6.89
Dickey Simpkins	34	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.34	5	-14	19	14.6	16.0	-1.35	18.5	14.1	4.42
Randy Brown	9	8	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	2	-13	24.7	14.5	10.20	14.5	16.0	-1.46
Michael Jordan	79	80	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.33	3	-12	15	14.9	18.8	-3.85	16.1	14.3	1.73
Scott Burrell	15	15	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.07	-11	2	-13	19.7	14.6	5.02	16.8	15.6	1.15
Ron Harper	46	46	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.06	-11	2	-13	14.5	16.5	-2.02	15.0	16.7	-1.72
Dennis Rodman	82	82	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.17	-12	3	-15	15.5	15.2	0.30	15.8	15.8	0.04
Scottie Pippen	86	85	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.24	-10	1	-11	15.3	17.2	-1.82	15.0	25.7	-10.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.13,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.17,0.08,0.05,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 88, PHX 79	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.28,0.23,0.14,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.01,0,0	94.2%
MEM 93, POR 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.47,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.05,0	94.0%
UTA 115, DEN 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.19,0.26,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0	94.0%