NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	115		Excitement	4.8 [876]		MVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): +19.7%
Denver Nuggets	104		Comeback	1.9 [306]		LVP	Francisco Elson (DEN): -3.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.13	0.05	-0.02	12	75%	0.24	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.03
Andrei Kirilenko	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.04	0.01	10	75%	0.15	2	-0.01	8	87%	0.01
Jarron Collins	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	6	83%	0.15	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Matt Harpring	0.11	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.01	10	72%	0.13	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.06	0.00	9	62%	0.13	4	-0.08	6	50%	-0.02
Deron Williams	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	9	60%	0.07	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Keith McLeod	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Devin Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	5	36%	-0.01	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.02	0.03	25	58%	0.16	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.05	-0.01	9	68%	0.18	4	-0.08	10	90%	0.04
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.01	0.04	10	78%	0.12	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	8	37%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	9	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	3	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	3.4	28.4	17.4	28.7	2.8	36.8	144.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +33.6%

UTA +6.5%

UTA +8.3%

UTA +0.1%

UTA +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DEN	NBA	UTA	DEN	NBA
this game	17.6	14.8	15.6	129.2	116.9	104.4
season	17.0	14.4		101.7	103.5
opponent	15.9	15.0		103.5	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.5	18.7	16.7	18.5	17.6
DEN	12.9	14.7	16.8	15.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	78	78	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.20	8	3	5	17.2	20.0	-2.77	15.2	11.5	3.70
Carlos Boozer	56	59	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	-1	13	17.2	18.2	-0.97	15.3	13.9	1.39
Matt Harpring	61	62	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	1	9	18.2	16.1	2.14	14.9	14.5	0.38
Keith McLeod	32	31	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.06	14	-3	17	17.6	17.5	0.08	13.3	15.6	-2.30
Mehmet Okur	73	72	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.17	5	6	-1	18.0	15.8	2.15	15.0	14.1	0.90
Jarron Collins	49	47	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.15	5	6	-1	17.4	17.8	-0.37	13.9	15.7	-1.80
Devin Brown	39	38	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	7	-3	17.2	17.9	-0.65	13.7	15.6	-1.97
Deron Williams	57	58	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.23	-3	14	-17	17.5	17.6	-0.08	15.6	13.3	2.30

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Linas Kleiza	13	12	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.05	3	-14	17	16.2	14.5	1.69	15.0	18.0	-2.97
Kenyon Martin	45	44	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.13	3	-14	17	15.0	14.6	0.39	18.7	16.4	2.33
Reggie Evans	44	43	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.14	2	-13	15	12.7	16.9	-4.21	17.2	18.0	-0.79
Howard Eisley	11	10	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.07	-10	-1	-9	11.1	15.3	-4.22	14.5	18.0	-3.46
DerMarr Johnson	29	31	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	-7	3	16.8	13.8	2.98	16.5	18.1	-1.57
Francisco Elson	45	45	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.05	-7	-4	-3	15.9	13.6	2.27	17.7	17.5	0.23
Eduardo Najera	7	8	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.10	-12	1	-13	12.9	15.0	-2.09	12.2	18.1	-5.85
Greg Buckner	51	52	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-5	-1	12.9	17.4	-4.51	17.3	17.9	-0.55
Andre Miller	78	79	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-10	9	15.3	11.1	4.22	18.0	14.5	3.46
Carmelo Anthony	69	69	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.15	-9	-2	-7	15.1	13.6	1.47	17.7	17.0	0.67
Ruben Patterson	53	52	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.08	-14	3	-17	15.7	13.5	2.16	18.9	15.8	3.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.19,0.26,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 100, ATL 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.07,0.05,0,0,0	94.6%
SAC 123, MIL 116	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.4,0.31,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0	94.3%
MIA 115, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.3%