inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 100 Excitement5.1 [777] MVPPau Gasol (LAL): +14.2%
Los Angeles Lakers 81 Comeback2.0 [292] LVPKobe Bryant (LAL): -13.9%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.150.020.041473%0.151-0.02580%0.00
Manu Ginobili0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08-0.020.130.032258%0.216-0.131191%0.05
Keith Bogans0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.010.03-0.01560%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Antonio McDyess0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.010.04-0.03450%0.061-0.0000%0.00
Richard Jefferson0.030,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.06-0.000.031056%0.0300.00560%-0.01
DeJuan Blair0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.00-0.02250%0.0200.0000%0.00
Matt Bonner0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.00-0.00757%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Garrett Temple0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ian Mahinmi0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.020100%0.0000.002100%0.00
George Hill-0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.01560%0.032-0.0500%0.00
Malik Hairston-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.020.01329%-0.021-0.0410%-0.00
Roger Mason Jr.-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.0040%-0.0700.0000%0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Pau Gasol0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.120.050.032067%0.213-0.07875%-0.00
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.01475%0.0300.0000%0.00
Josh Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Luke Walton00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
DJ Mbenga0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Lamar Odom0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.02856%0.022-0.0500%0.00
Metta World Peace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.011040%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Sasha Vujacic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.0230%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Jordan Farmar0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00520%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Shannon Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.020.00520%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Kobe Bryant0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.15,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.110.000.032441%-0.044-0.10667%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.23.736.718.629.53.536.4151.6
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +42.6%
SAS +4.4%
LAL -3.6%
LAL -0.6%
SAS +7.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASLALNBASASLALNBA
this game16.315.915.3109.992.0106.0
season15.915.7108.2107.9
opponent15.115.1103.0103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS16.015.315.718.216.3
LAL16.015.417.814.315.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Keith Bogans44450.64-0.140.77-0.1025-63115.716.9-1.1516.415.31.03
Tim Duncan68680.53-0.030.550.11145916.715.01.7115.915.60.33
Richard Jefferson70690.51-0.010.520.10145916.615.51.1015.815.9-0.12
Manu Ginobili70700.480.020.47-0.1020-12116.615.31.2815.517.3-1.79
Matt Bonner41390.280.220.060.07712-515.017.4-2.4415.815.9-0.06
Antonio McDyess47450.210.29-0.080.00712-517.515.02.4715.716.0-0.38
Ian Mahinmi540.020.48-0.45-0.09415-1111.216.6-5.4215.715.9-0.11
Garrett Temple320.000.50-0.50-0.06217-1510.016.5-6.5320.015.84.24
Roger Mason Jr.4239-0.020.52-0.53-0.02019-1915.716.8-1.1215.915.80.17
George Hill2827-0.030.53-0.560.06-322-2516.416.30.1616.415.60.75
DeJuan Blair1918-0.040.54-0.57-0.18514-915.716.5-0.7416.615.70.95
Malik Hairston1814-0.090.59-0.67-0.09019-1918.315.82.4413.716.3-2.54

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luke Walton14160.00-0.500.500.06-2-171515.915.90.0116.816.20.60
Josh Powell55-0.00-0.500.500.15-5-14916.415.80.5813.816.5-2.67
Jordan Farmar2933-0.03-0.470.440.09-4-151115.516.0-0.5515.217.0-1.83
Shannon Brown3237-0.07-0.430.37-0.01-2-171515.915.80.0414.817.4-2.63
DJ Mbenga98-0.10-0.400.310.08-6-13714.916.0-1.0710.916.8-5.97
Sasha Vujacic1211-0.14-0.360.210.15-10-9-118.715.43.3615.316.5-1.19
Derek Fisher5252-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.02-10-9-115.616.2-0.6717.215.12.08
Pau Gasol7781-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.08-11-8-316.114.31.8116.812.64.18
Metta World Peace6362-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.03-15-4-1116.015.50.5216.715.51.18
Lamar Odom7274-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.08-14-5-915.617.0-1.4016.316.4-0.04
Kobe Bryant7576-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.02-16-3-1315.716.8-1.1717.013.03.97


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.27,0.23,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.13,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHH 92, SAS 820.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,094.3%
PHX 95, NOH 840.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.42,0.35,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.19,0.26,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,093.7%
POR 106, DAL 910.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.19,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,093.7%