NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	106		Excitement	4.7 [522]		MVP	Isaiah Rider (POR): +10.3%
Dallas Mavericks	91		Comeback	1.7 [551]		LVP	Steve Nash (DAL): -14.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Rider	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	-0.01	22	62%	0.15	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.03	0.04	12	62%	0.06	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jim Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	87%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	13	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Greg Anthony	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	3	50%	0.01	3	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Walt Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	10	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.02	5	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Stacey Augmon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	4	10%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	9	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	6	57%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Anstey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.05	8	65%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0.03	7	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hot Rod Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	17	52%	0.03	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	0.02	6	44%	-0.04	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	0.03	13	43%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Steve Nash	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.05	-0.02	10	43%	-0.04	5	-0.10	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	26.7	16.0	22.6	1.8	30.5	123.3
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +29.0%

POR +2.9%

POR +3.2%

POR +15.1%

DAL -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DAL	NBA	POR	DAL	NBA
this game	15.3	14.7	15.8	110.4	94.8	99.6
season	16.0	15.9		102.0	99.7
opponent	15.6	15.9		102.3	96.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	12.7	15.4	19.5	14.9	15.3
DAL	14.5	16.6	16.5	11.8	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arvydas Sabonis	72	72	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.17	25	-10	35	15.7	14.3	1.32	15.0	13.8	1.18
Isaiah Rider	70	69	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.15	22	-7	29	15.6	14.5	1.18	15.1	13.7	1.35
Damon Stoudamire	73	72	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.00	13	2	11	15.6	14.3	1.34	15.1	13.5	1.57
Brian Grant	63	63	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.03	11	4	7	17.0	12.1	4.97	15.7	12.6	3.11
Walt Williams	36	35	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.01	7	8	-1	13.9	16.2	-2.25	14.9	14.5	0.42
Stacey Augmon	25	25	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	11	-7	18.9	14.1	4.81	16.7	14.0	2.71
Jermaine O'Neal	27	27	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	12	-9	12.9	16.3	-3.33	12.4	15.6	-3.11
Jim Jackson	46	47	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	12	-9	15.0	15.6	-0.66	14.2	15.1	-0.95
Greg Anthony	23	24	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	13	-11	14.3	15.6	-1.34	13.5	15.1	-1.57
Bonzi Wells	8	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	19	-23	11.0	15.7	-4.72	7.2	15.4	-8.23
Rasheed Wallace	15	14	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	18	-21	12.6	15.8	-3.23	13.6	14.9	-1.29
Kelvin Cato	22	23	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.15	-8	23	-31	13.7	15.8	-2.13	14.3	14.8	-0.49

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Anstey	18	19	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.22	7	-22	29	11.6	15.4	-3.77	13.2	15.9	-2.70
Gary Trent	56	55	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.08	-5	-10	5	14.7	14.6	0.05	17.1	12.9	4.22
Dirk Nowitzki	28	29	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-16	17	13.0	15.4	-2.37	14.9	15.5	-0.66
Erick Strickland	24	23	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.12	0	-15	15	13.0	15.2	-2.29	14.0	15.7	-1.74
Hot Rod Williams	40	39	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.01	-5	-10	5	14.4	14.9	-0.43	16.0	14.9	1.10
Samaki Walker	30	28	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.06	-5	-10	5	14.2	14.9	-0.74	12.6	16.4	-3.78
Hubert Davis	45	44	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.07	-8	-7	-1	15.5	13.9	1.61	15.4	15.3	0.08
A.C. Green	52	52	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	-2	-11	15.0	14.3	0.70	15.4	15.3	0.09
Shawn Bradley	44	46	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.07	-10	-5	-5	16.7	12.9	3.78	15.7	14.9	0.80
Michael Finley	78	80	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.06	-16	1	-17	15.2	12.6	2.54	15.7	13.3	2.41
Steve Nash	65	65	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.16	-21	6	-27	14.4	15.2	-0.72	15.0	16.0	-0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.19,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 103, DET 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.33,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0	95.7%
CLE 93, TOR 76	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
BOS 101, IND 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.25,0.24,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0,0,0	95.2%