NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	101		Excitement	5.0 [803]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +23.5%
Indiana Pacers	86		Comeback	1.6 [948]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): -12.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.24	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.18	0.05	-0.01	17	65%	0.26	1	-0.02	14	100%	0.07
Brian Scalabrine	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	-0.00	-0.02	5	64%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	1	83%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Ray Allen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	17	46%	0.06	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0.01	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	14	49%	0.05	2	-0.04	9	67%	-0.02
Eddie House	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	42%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.01	0.05	4	60%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Rajon Rondo	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	5	36%	-0.01	4	-0.08	4	25%	-0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.16	-0.02	0.05	10	100%	0.21	5	-0.12	4	75%	-0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	36%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
David Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04
Travis Diener	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	12	50%	0.01	4	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	12	31%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	6	36%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	7	30%	-0.06	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	0.01	13	36%	-0.07	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.8	1.7	38.1	15.3	25.6	2.5	31.5	145.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +34.4%

BOS +10.3%

IND -15.9%

BOS +18.0%

BOS +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	IND	NBA	BOS	IND	NBA
this game	15.6	14.1	15.4	103.1	89.6	105.7
season	15.6	13.8		108.0	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.9		105.6	98.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.7	12.0	15.4	18.9	15.6
IND	16.0	14.2	15.3	11.1	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	79	79	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.02	16	-1	17	16.5	11.8	4.68	14.3	13.1	1.21
Kevin Garnett	74	75	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.01	15	0	15	16.8	11.8	4.94	14.6	12.3	2.28
Paul Pierce	85	84	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.11	10	5	5	15.5	15.9	-0.42	14.0	14.7	-0.63
Eddie House	33	34	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.04	8	7	1	15.8	15.4	0.39	14.0	14.2	-0.13
Brian Scalabrine	30	27	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.00	8	7	1	12.0	17.1	-5.08	14.7	13.9	0.77
Rajon Rondo	66	62	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.02	7	8	-1	15.2	16.2	-0.98	14.2	14.0	0.13
James Posey	32	32	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.06	3	12	-9	19.1	13.9	5.20	12.4	15.0	-2.52
Scot Pollard	23	22	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.02	3	12	-9	14.5	15.9	-1.42	14.5	14.0	0.44
Kendrick Perkins	43	42	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	14	-13	15.4	15.7	-0.30	15.0	13.4	1.62
Glen Davis	3	3	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.02	2	13	-11	9.7	15.7	-6.08	8.3	14.3	-5.97
Tony Allen	22	20	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.04	2	13	-11	11.0	16.9	-5.88	12.2	14.6	-2.36

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Graham	3	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-13	11	10.7	14.2	-3.56	9.0	15.8	-6.84
Andre Owens	5	6	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.04	-4	-11	7	9.2	14.4	-5.18	9.2	16.0	-6.81
David Harrison	15	16	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.10	-6	-9	3	14.4	14.1	0.34	11.0	16.5	-5.45
Mike Dunleavy	47	49	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.14	0	-15	15	15.0	13.2	1.82	15.4	15.8	-0.39
Danny Granger	66	64	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.12	-1	-14	13	14.4	13.5	0.89	17.0	12.8	4.28
Jamaal Tinsley	60	58	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.09	-3	-12	9	14.2	14.0	0.23	17.4	12.9	4.41
Jermaine O'Neal	64	65	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.20	-1	-14	13	14.2	13.9	0.31	16.9	12.8	4.09
Jeff Foster	50	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	-5	-5	14.5	13.7	0.72	15.4	15.7	-0.22
Travis Diener	36	39	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.06	-13	-2	-11	14.0	14.2	-0.23	13.1	17.2	-4.17
Kareem Rush	43	45	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	-4	-7	12.4	15.5	-3.11	15.8	15.3	0.48
Shawne Williams	49	52	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.08	-14	-1	-13	13.4	14.8	-1.40	14.9	16.3	-1.40
Troy Murphy	42	43	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.11	-10	-5	-5	15.4	13.1	2.21	15.2	15.9	-0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.25,0.24,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 93, TOR 76	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
PHX 113, LAC 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.17,0.16,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
MIN 87, LAC 77	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%