NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	93		Excitement	3.8 [1053]		MVP	Wally Szczerbiak (CLE): +7.6%
Toronto Raptors	76		Comeback	2.0 [950]		LVP	Anthony Parker (TOR): -17.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.01	4	92%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Mo Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	11	71%	0.11	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	80%	0.04	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	17	61%	0.14	4	-0.11	2	0%	-0.02
Anderson Varejao	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	3	62%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Darnell Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tarence Kinsey	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	5	42%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	0.03	17	56%	0.02	5	-0.10	2	100%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	6	25%	-0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	31%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	10	57%	0.06	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Roko Leni Ukic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nathan Jawai	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	9	44%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	16	42%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	14	39%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	13	32%	-0.06	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	3.4	27.4	15.7	25.1	2.4	27.3	124.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +55.4%

TOR -3.4%

CLE +10.7%

TOR -11.8%

TOR -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	TOR	NBA	CLE	TOR	NBA
this game	15.8	15.5	15.5	102.2	81.7	106.4
season	16.9	15.1		110.6	105.0
opponent	15.6	15.2		108.0	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.2	14.5	16.6	18.3	15.8
TOR	15.8	13.8	16.1	16.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anderson Varejao	60	62	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.10	19	-2	21	14.9	17.5	-2.53	15.8	14.9	0.84
LeBron James	62	63	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.13	20	-3	23	15.2	17.1	-1.89	15.9	14.7	1.22
Daniel Gibson	54	53	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.10	11	6	5	15.8	15.8	0.05	15.4	15.6	-0.23
Wally Szczerbiak	53	53	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.16	19	-2	21	16.3	15.1	1.17	14.9	16.3	-1.41
Mo Williams	72	74	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.08	14	3	11	15.7	16.3	-0.64	14.9	17.9	-3.02
JJ Hickson	40	41	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	14	-11	17.2	14.7	2.52	16.3	14.8	1.51
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	55	59	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	15	-13	16.4	14.9	1.53	15.1	16.2	-1.17
Tarence Kinsey	42	45	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.24	-5	22	-27	15.6	16.0	-0.32	15.9	15.1	0.81
Darnell Jackson	12	11	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	15	-13	15.9	15.8	0.12	15.4	15.5	-0.15
Lorenzen Wright	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	17	-17	13.4	16.0	-2.55	19.0	15.3	3.66

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nathan Jawai	11	10	-0.06	-0.45	0.39	-0.14	3	-20	23	16.5	15.4	1.09	13.7	16.1	-2.37
Jake Voskuhl	19	19	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.08	-5	-12	7	16.6	15.2	1.36	13.1	16.5	-3.42
Marcus Banks	18	20	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-13	9	18.9	14.7	4.21	17.7	15.3	2.42
Roko Leni Ukic	33	31	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	-13	9	15.2	15.6	-0.39	15.0	16.2	-1.28
Anthony Parker	70	66	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-10	3	14.9	17.2	-2.23	16.6	13.7	2.89
Jason Kapono	48	47	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.08	-13	-4	-9	15.7	15.3	0.40	15.2	16.5	-1.29
Jose Calderon	62	62	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.09	-15	-2	-13	15.5	15.5	-0.03	16.0	15.5	0.48
Andrea Bargnani	62	61	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	-3	-11	14.9	16.6	-1.68	16.7	14.0	2.70
Shawn Marion	79	77	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.03	-12	-5	-7	15.1	17.7	-2.61	15.5	17.7	-2.25
Joey Graham	63	62	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.03	-14	-3	-11	15.7	15.1	0.58	15.8	15.8	0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 97, CHI 81	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
PHI 107, NJN 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.25,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
BOS 101, IND 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.25,0.24,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0,0,0	95.9%