NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	103		Excitement	4.9 [836]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): +14.4%
Detroit Pistons	95		Comeback	1.9 [957]		LVP	Kyle Singler (DET): -9.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.22	0.01	0.09	23	73%	0.20	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	5	80%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.02	24	54%	0.11	4	-0.07	11	91%	0.01
Timofey Mozgov	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	7	43%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	11	32%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	11	23%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.12	-0.00	0.07	5	107%	0.12	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.01
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.00	0.03	7	55%	0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Greg Monroe	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	15	52%	0.06	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	15	63%	0.12	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	0.04	7	58%	-0.01	3	-0.04	5	80%	-0.01
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.01	-0.01	17	32%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.05
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	9	28%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.7	25.3	17.7	25.1	1.8	37.0	130.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +24.9%

DET -1.9%

CLE +1.9%

CLE +25.3%

DET -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DET	NBA	CLE	DET	NBA
this game	14.9	15.5	15.1	108.4	100.0	104.2
season	15.9	15.7		108.7	104.0
opponent	15.3	14.9		105.0	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.1	14.4	15.0	15.1	14.9
DET	15.5	15.0	18.6	13.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyrie Irving	84	83	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.21	8	0	8	14.6	16.9	-2.31	15.4	15.8	-0.44
Kevin Love	61	62	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	-3	14	15.7	13.4	2.31	16.2	14.1	2.04
J.R. Smith	59	58	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.22	4	4	0	16.3	12.5	3.76	16.2	14.3	1.85
Shawn Marion	38	35	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	2	4	15.7	14.3	1.32	16.2	15.0	1.18
LeBron James	69	72	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.26	0	8	-8	15.2	14.1	1.08	15.2	16.2	-1.01
Timofey Mozgov	40	41	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.01	9	-1	10	14.2	15.3	-1.06	16.8	14.4	2.42
Iman Shumpert	40	39	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.20	0	8	-8	12.9	16.3	-3.35	14.1	16.4	-2.38
Matthew Dellavedova	29	30	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.02	7	1	6	12.8	15.8	-2.93	13.8	16.2	-2.37
Tristan Thompson	55	55	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.30	-5	13	-18	14.8	14.9	-0.06	14.7	16.5	-1.85

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Dinwiddie	25	26	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-9	10	14.0	16.0	-1.92	14.5	15.0	-0.50
Caron Butler	33	32	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-8	8	15.5	15.4	0.10	14.5	15.0	-0.55
Greg Monroe	61	60	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	-7	6	15.8	14.8	1.03	15.5	13.8	1.68
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	56	57	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.28	1	-9	10	15.2	15.8	-0.62	15.3	14.2	1.09
Jodie Meeks	56	54	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-3	-2	14.7	16.6	-1.93	14.3	15.6	-1.31
Andre Drummond	68	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-1	-6	15.9	14.3	1.56	14.6	15.7	-1.16
Kyle Singler	45	47	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	4	-16	16.7	14.3	2.39	15.2	14.5	0.73
Anthony Tolliver	61	60	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.17	-8	0	-8	14.6	17.0	-2.41	14.6	15.3	-0.71
D.J. Augustin	70	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.17	-9	1	-10	16.0	14.0	1.92	15.0	14.5	0.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.33,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 106, DAL 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.19,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
LAC 100, MIN 85	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
WAS 114, POR 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0	95.1%