NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	114		Excitement	5.2 [825]		MVP	Gilbert Arenas (WAS): +16.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	106		Comeback	1.7 [360]		LVP	Etan Thomas (WAS): -13.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.03	-0.03	17	72%	0.21	3	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Laron Profit	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	6	69%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Juan Dixon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	7	65%	0.07	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.00
Kwame Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	60%	0.01	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.02
Larry Hughes	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.01	0.04	19	56%	0.03	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.02
Steve Blake	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	5	31%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Damone Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Michael Ruffin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	10	32%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Etan Thomas	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	11	38%	-0.08	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richie Frahm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.15	0.01	0.05	7	100%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Viktor Khryapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.01	0.03	6	81%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	0.00	13	54%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	13	39%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	13	58%	0.03	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.02
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	13	50%	0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	0.04	13	57%	-0.01	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.02	2	33%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.6	30.4	14.7	26.2	1.8	42.3	139.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR -3.6%

WAS +12.6%

WAS +25.3%

WAS +16.0%

POR -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	POR	NBA	WAS	POR	NBA
this game	14.3	14.9	15.5	115.2	108.2	104.0
season	14.7	15.8		104.7	101.2
opponent	15.6	15.5		105.4	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	17.4	11.7	13.5	15.0	14.3
POR	14.7	16.6	16.5	12.1	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Etan Thomas	61	62	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	-3	14	14.8	13.4	1.39	15.8	13.4	2.36
Larry Hughes	89	88	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	5	-2	14.3	14.6	-0.33	14.8	15.9	-1.07
Juan Dixon	45	45	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.21	3	5	-2	14.4	14.2	0.22	14.0	15.7	-1.69
Gilbert Arenas	76	74	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	5	-2	14.9	12.4	2.43	14.8	15.2	-0.41
Laron Profit	40	39	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.20	2	6	-4	12.4	15.6	-3.15	14.9	15.0	-0.11
Damone Brown	28	26	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.03	7	1	6	13.7	14.5	-0.87	14.7	15.0	-0.28
Kwame Brown	53	52	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.08	5	3	2	15.2	13.3	1.82	14.8	15.1	-0.32
Jared Jeffries	47	48	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.05	6	2	4	13.7	14.8	-1.10	14.9	15.0	-0.08
Michael Ruffin	36	36	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	8	-8	15.0	13.9	1.10	15.7	14.5	1.19
Steve Blake	20	20	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	8	-8	12.9	14.7	-1.76	14.7	15.0	-0.30

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Viktor Khryapa	36	37	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.08	-2	-6	4	14.0	15.5	-1.53	14.7	14.1	0.64
Richie Frahm	37	38	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.27	4	-12	16	13.2	16.0	-2.81	14.3	14.3	0.06
Darius Miles	48	48	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.04	-7	-1	-6	16.4	13.5	2.90	14.3	14.3	-0.06
Ruben Patterson	36	34	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	0	-8	15.8	14.5	1.33	13.0	15.0	-1.94
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	80	80	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.24	-2	-6	4	14.6	16.6	-1.98	14.1	15.3	-1.25
Sebastian Telfair	68	72	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-6	4	15.0	14.7	0.34	14.9	12.6	2.35
Joel Przybilla	71	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-4	0	15.5	13.6	1.91	14.6	13.5	1.08
Damon Stoudamire	65	64	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.08	-10	2	-12	15.7	13.5	2.19	14.2	14.5	-0.33
Travis Outlaw	49	50	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.13	-9	1	-10	13.6	16.3	-2.65	14.1	14.6	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 103, DET 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.33,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0	95.1%
ATL 102, HOU 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.21,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0	95.0%
PHI 114, DEN 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	94.9%