NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	114		Excitement	5.3 [762]		MVP	Hollis Thompson (PHI): +12.3%
Denver Nuggets	102		Comeback	2.0 [157]		LVP	Randy Foye (DEN): -12.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hollis Thompson	0.12	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	6	92%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.01	-0.02	9	72%	0.10	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	17	55%	0.10	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.02
James Anderson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	75%	0.08	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Spencer Hawes	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	11	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Tony Wroten	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	6	47%	0.06	2	-0.04	3	0%	-0.03
Brandon Davies	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,0,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	17	46%	0.03	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Michael Carter-Williams	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	15	42%	0.02	5	-0.06	8	75%	0.01
Elliot Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	9	57%	0.07	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.04
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.01	0.02	13	57%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	14	51%	0.05	1	-0.03	9	56%	-0.04
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	1	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jordan Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	13	45%	0.01	4	-0.07	7	86%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.04	-0.03	17	39%	-0.04	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	2.4	29.3	14.6	25.5	2.4	31.7	134.4
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +42.0%

PHI +4.1%

PHI +10.2%

DEN -1.9%

DEN -4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DEN	NBA	PHI	DEN	NBA
this game	13.9	13.8	15.1	109.6	98.1	105.2
season	13.7	14.0		98.4	104.5
opponent	14.9	15.0		106.4	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.8	12.2	14.3	15.2	13.9
DEN	14.4	15.0	13.9	12.0	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Wroten	43	43	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.05	14	-2	16	13.0	14.5	-1.52	14.0	13.7	0.26
Evan Turner	87	86	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.09	11	1	10	13.9	13.5	0.40	13.9	13.5	0.40
Brandon Davies	16	16	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.01	10	2	8	14.2	13.8	0.38	15.1	13.6	1.46
Lavoy Allen	34	34	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.01	9	3	6	13.9	13.8	0.11	14.4	13.6	0.78
Hollis Thompson	37	36	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.01	9	3	6	13.7	14.0	-0.29	14.7	13.4	1.28
Spencer Hawes	70	70	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	9	-6	13.8	13.9	-0.11	13.6	14.4	-0.78
Thaddeus Young	88	88	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	10	-8	13.8	14.2	-0.38	13.6	15.1	-1.46
Michael Carter-Williams	75	75	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	11	-10	14.0	13.5	0.53	13.8	13.9	-0.05
James Anderson	53	54	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	12	-12	14.5	13.2	1.31	13.2	14.5	-1.37
Elliot Williams	17	18	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.06	1	11	-10	13.5	13.9	-0.40	13.5	13.9	-0.40

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenneth Faried	47	46	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-14	16	15.1	12.8	2.37	14.0	13.7	0.28
Jordan Hamilton	8	9	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	-10	8	11.7	14.0	-2.25	12.0	14.0	-2.04
Timofey Mozgov	22	20	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-9	6	14.6	13.6	1.03	14.7	13.7	1.03
Wilson Chandler	67	68	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-12	12	14.1	13.4	0.74	14.0	13.7	0.30
Anthony Randolph	17	17	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	-8	4	14.2	13.7	0.49	11.9	14.3	-2.37
Quincy Miller	12	12	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.04	-7	-5	-2	15.5	13.6	1.89	15.4	13.7	1.75
Evan Fournier	31	31	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	-7	2	12.7	14.3	-1.64	14.9	13.4	1.43
Nate Robinson	30	27	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.01	-8	-4	-4	13.9	13.8	0.15	13.8	13.9	-0.07
Ty Lawson	89	89	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.19	-2	-10	8	13.7	14.8	-1.14	13.7	14.7	-0.94
JJ Hickson	69	71	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-7	2	13.5	14.4	-0.91	14.1	13.4	0.65
Randy Foye	80	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.07	-11	-1	-10	14.0	13.4	0.59	13.4	15.4	-1.96
Darrell Arthur	48	50	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.08	-15	3	-18	12.8	14.7	-1.92	14.0	13.8	0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 106, DEN 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.16,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
OKC 102, CLE 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0	95.3%
HOU 107, PHX 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%