inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 113 Excitement6.0 [636] MVPReggie Jackson (OKC): +15.5%
San Antonio Spurs 100 Comeback1.5 [485] LVPTiago Splitter (SAS): -13.8%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Reggie Jackson0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.110.05-0.001466%0.171-0.02475%-0.01
Russell Westbrook0.140,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.140.130.040.032266%0.213-0.083100%0.01
Nick Collison0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.060.040.00480%0.1000.002100%0.01
Derek Fisher0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.000.00383%0.0500.0000%0.00
Jeremy Lamb0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.010.050.00837%0.0300.0000%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.000.01462%0.0200.0000%0.00
Steven Adams-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.02-0.00340%0.011-0.03450%-0.03
Kevin Durant-0.040,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.00-0.04-0.001455%0.063-0.103100%0.02
Kendrick Perkins-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.01233%0.002-0.052100%0.01
Serge Ibaka-0.070,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.01-0.030.041450%-0.022-0.0500%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Boris Diaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.090.060.01970%0.1400.002100%0.02
Tony Parker0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.090.020.001456%0.1100.001385%0.02
Marco Belinelli0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.09-0.03-0.011365%0.101-0.0300%0.00
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.02-0.011453%0.042-0.04475%0.00
Danny Green0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.01-0.01650%0.042-0.062100%0.01
Aron Baynes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.010.0000%0.002-0.0500%0.00
Patty Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.02617%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.01-0.050.04952%-0.032-0.063100%0.02
Tiago Splitter0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.10-0.04-0.00930%-0.072-0.0720%-0.07
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.52.531.414.729.02.027.3128.3
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +42.9%
SAS -5.3%
OKC +8.7%
OKC +2.0%
OKC +1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCSASNBAOKCSASNBA
this game15.513.615.1114.1101.0105.2
season14.415.0107.8109.8
opponent15.015.4101.1102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC14.214.015.019.315.5
SAS14.614.212.712.813.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Reggie Jackson62620.62-0.120.730.0619-62515.615.40.1313.214.1-0.89
Nick Collison40400.54-0.040.57-0.0520-72715.715.40.2713.313.8-0.50
Serge Ibaka65650.440.060.390.1894515.715.10.5614.212.31.91
Derek Fisher32330.360.140.220.1094516.515.01.5013.213.8-0.59
Jeremy Lamb33340.310.190.130.0594515.515.50.0512.913.9-1.06
Russell Westbrook70700.220.28-0.060.0858-315.615.40.1913.912.81.16
Kevin Durant79790.080.42-0.340.05112-1115.515.6-0.1713.513.8-0.28
Steven Adams41400.070.43-0.350.04112-1115.415.6-0.1312.814.1-1.30
Kendrick Perkins3031-0.020.52-0.530.01-114-1515.215.6-0.4014.313.30.99
Thabo Sefolosha4341-0.130.63-0.750.08-720-2714.516.3-1.8614.013.30.72

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cory Joseph43-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-13139.213.8-4.5121.015.35.66
Matt Bonner44-0.03-0.470.45-0.030-13139.213.8-4.5121.515.36.24
Tiago Splitter5151-0.03-0.470.44-0.154-172113.713.40.3115.415.6-0.17
Aron Baynes45-0.08-0.420.35-0.02-2-11911.513.7-2.1613.015.6-2.65
Patty Mills3433-0.22-0.280.07-0.01-7-6-112.114.3-2.2215.615.50.18
Manu Ginobili5555-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.10-6-7113.613.6-0.0315.315.7-0.38
Tony Parker6566-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.11-6-7114.312.12.2215.515.6-0.18
Tim Duncan7071-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.05-10-3-714.212.02.2315.216.2-0.97
Danny Green7071-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.06-10-3-713.613.40.2315.316.2-0.93
Boris Diaw6059-0.42-0.08-0.350.02-152-1713.114.3-1.1215.915.00.91
Marco Belinelli7877-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.09-130-1313.713.00.7315.515.40.14


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.41,0.34,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.07,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
IND 87, PHI 770.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.25,0.15,0.12,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.05,0.03,0,0,094.4%
CLE 102, PHI 920.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0,093.8%
LAL 107, DEN 890.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.3,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.18,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.08,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,093.8%