NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	96		Excitement	6.6 [494]		MVP	Nenad Krstic (OKC): +22.8%
San Antonio Spurs	95		Comeback	1.9 [108]		LVP	Michael Finley (SAS): -30.1%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nenad Krstic	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.23	0.09	0.14	-0.00	11	73%	0.24	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0.16	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.16	0.17	0.02	0.03	19	67%	0.21	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.00
Chucky Atkins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Weaver	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04
Russell Westbrook	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	15	44%	0.08	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
Thabo Sefolosha	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Nick Collison	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1	-0.01	-0.06	0.02	17	42%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.05	0.03	12	68%	0.17	1	-0.04	7	43%	-0.05
Matt Bonner	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.01	7	64%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ime Udoka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	70%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	13	61%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	10	43%	-0.03	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.03
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.07	0.02	8	55%	-0.01	4	-0.12	4	75%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.09,0.06,-0.3	-0.30	-0.01	-0.27	0.02	16	44%	-0.26	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	26.9	15.0	25.0	1.8	31.2	126.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +48.2%

SAS -0.7%

SAS -9.0%

OKC +6.9%

OKC +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	SAS	NBA	OKC	SAS	NBA
this game	16.3	16.8	15.5	110.3	109.2	106.4
season	14.9	16.4		100.5	106.6
opponent	15.7	15.1		103.2	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	17.0	16.0	15.9	16.3	16.3
SAS	15.7	16.8	16.1	18.8	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Green	75	76	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.47	6	-5	11	16.6	14.2	2.46	17.0	15.5	1.56
Russell Westbrook	67	68	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.47	1	0	1	16.8	14.7	2.06	16.6	17.7	-1.18
Kevin Durant	82	81	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.53	-4	5	-9	16.1	19.4	-3.30	16.6	19.8	-3.24
Thabo Sefolosha	52	53	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.34	0	1	-1	17.4	14.7	2.73	15.8	18.4	-2.57
Nenad Krstic	44	43	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.36	-2	3	-5	17.5	15.0	2.50	16.7	16.9	-0.14
Kyle Weaver	32	32	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	-3	7	14.2	17.5	-3.27	17.1	16.7	0.39
Malik Rose	17	16	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.01	5	-4	9	15.1	16.6	-1.53	17.4	16.7	0.68
Chucky Atkins	35	34	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.15	-1	2	-3	14.9	17.2	-2.39	18.4	15.8	2.62
Nick Collison	31	32	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	5	-9	15.8	16.6	-0.80	17.0	16.7	0.29

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ime Udoka	27	25	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.11	3	-4	7	16.6	16.9	-0.32	14.9	16.8	-1.92
Jacque Vaughn	25	25	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	1	-3	17.3	16.6	0.65	15.9	16.5	-0.57
Drew Gooden	17	17	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	4	-9	17.8	16.6	1.18	15.2	16.6	-1.38
Matt Bonner	58	60	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	2	-5	16.9	16.6	0.40	16.8	15.1	1.76
Tim Duncan	63	64	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.45	9	-10	19	16.7	17.0	-0.31	16.7	15.1	1.57
Michael Finley	60	61	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.54	11	-12	23	16.6	17.3	-0.64	17.3	13.8	3.48
Roger Mason Jr.	52	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.18	-2	1	-3	17.7	15.5	2.27	15.9	16.8	-0.88
Tony Parker	62	62	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.45	1	-2	3	16.6	17.3	-0.65	16.5	15.9	0.57
Kurt Thomas	15	13	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.34	-5	4	-9	15.6	17.1	-1.47	15.3	16.5	-1.15
Manu Ginobili	56	55	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.21	-12	11	-23	16.3	17.8	-1.49	15.6	17.5	-1.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.19,0.1,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.06,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 100, LAL 81	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.27,0.23,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.13,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.2%
OKC 102, PHX 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.15,0.24,0.19,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.17,0.23,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.1%
IND 87, PHI 77	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.25,0.15,0.12,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.05,0.03,0,0,0	92.9%