NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	127		Excitement	18.5 [1]		MVP	Brian Scalabrine (NJN): +37.6%
Detroit Pistons	120		Comeback	5.8 [119]		LVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): -41.6%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Scalabrine	0.38	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.01,0.01,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.38	0.15	0.22	-0.01	7	106%	0.40	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Lucious Harris	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.26	0.01	0.25	-0.01	8	63%	0.35	2	-0.09	3	100%	0.04
Kerry Kittles	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.05	-0.02	17	48%	-0.03	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.01
Jason Collins	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	3	50%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	0.00	-0.00	14	43%	-0.05	3	-0.06	9	78%	-0.01
Rodney Rogers	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	5	33%	-0.09	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Aaron Williams	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	2	17%	-0.14	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Kenyon Martin	-0.22	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.07	-0.14	0.02	15	56%	-0.05	5	-0.18	9	89%	0.04
Richard Jefferson	-0.29	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.26,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,0.02,0,0,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.03,0.03,-0.22,-0.28,-0.37,-0.37,-0.3,-0.29	-0.05	-0.23	0.01	15	65%	0.03	6	-0.32	18	72%	-0.26

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.05	0.19	-0.00	11	58%	0.24	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.08	-0.02	7	56%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	1	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.04	-0.09	0.01	14	58%	-0.04	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.05
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.03,-0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.16,-0.24	-0.24	-0.12	-0.12	0.01	29	44%	-0.01	3	-0.23	12	83%	0.17
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.11	-0.15	0.01	13	41%	-0.17	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.28,-0.38,-0.38,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36	-0.36	-0.13	-0.22	0.00	13	42%	-0.29	3	-0.08	12	33%	-0.23
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.00	5	0%	-0.27	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.23,-0.19,-0.26,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42	-0.42	-0.06	-0.36	-0.00	15	47%	-0.30	2	-0.12	8	87%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2		OT3	Total
this game	27.2	3.5	31.7	19.7	31.4	3.0	58.7	0.8	21.1	2.5	21.1	2.5	21.1	244.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	2.0	17.4	2.0	17.4	2.0	17.4	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +151.7%

DET -31.0%

DET -21.8%

DET -54.1%

NJN +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	DET	NBA	NJN	DET	NBA
this game	15.2	15.1	15.7	102.4	96.0	100.5
season	15.3	16.2		98.1	99.2
opponent	16.0	16.2		92.6	95.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NJN	16.0	16.8	16.6	13.4	16.6	15.7
DET	16.0	16.0	16.9	13.2	14.9	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Rogers	58	56	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.41	12	-5	17	14.7	15.7	-0.96	15.3	15.0	0.35
Kerry Kittles	110	109	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.34	10	-3	13	15.3	14.6	0.67	15.4	13.6	1.80
Jason Kidd	114	116	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.31	8	-1	9	15.0	18.1	-3.12	15.0	16.6	-1.54
Richard Jefferson	105	106	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.24	9	-2	11	15.0	16.6	-1.59	15.0	15.8	-0.84
Aaron Williams	26	25	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.47	-2	9	-11	14.7	15.4	-0.64	14.4	15.3	-0.91
Brian Scalabrine	46	49	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.42	-1	8	-9	15.3	15.2	0.04	14.7	15.4	-0.71
Jason Collins	54	53	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.13	0	7	-7	17.0	13.9	3.10	16.7	14.0	2.66
Kenyon Martin	64	66	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.28	3	4	-1	16.2	14.2	2.07	15.5	14.7	0.79
Lucious Harris	43	45	-0.44	0.94	-1.37	-0.32	-4	11	-15	13.6	16.1	-2.53	13.4	16.1	-2.63

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Hamilton	62	62	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.22	-4	-3	-1	16.2	14.1	2.08	17.2	13.3	3.85
Mehmet Okur	20	20	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.04	4	-11	15	12.4	15.6	-3.19	16.3	15.0	1.27
Corliss Williamson	56	50	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.19	9	-16	25	13.7	16.2	-2.50	14.9	15.5	-0.59
Rasheed Wallace	89	91	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-5	3	15.8	13.4	2.44	15.8	13.8	1.97
Darvin Ham	12	8	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	-10	3	-13	16.4	15.0	1.43	8.9	15.7	-6.80
Ben Wallace	91	93	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.24	-3	-4	1	15.8	13.4	2.44	15.6	14.2	1.43
Lindsey Hunter	37	38	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.22	-9	2	-11	13.1	16.0	-2.83	12.0	16.7	-4.70
Mike James	36	33	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.34	-5	-2	-3	13.1	15.9	-2.79	15.1	15.3	-0.19
Tayshaun Prince	108	109	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.34	-6	-1	-5	15.4	13.7	1.65	15.1	15.9	-0.80
Chauncey Billups	105	106	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.35	-9	2	-11	15.6	12.6	3.01	15.0	16.8	-1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.69,0.71,0.8,0.42,0.46,0.61,0.28,0.22,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.28,0.14,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.26,0.16,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 89, SEA 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.81,0.63,0.68,0.58,0	87.8%
TOR 100, HOU 99	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.34,0.37,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.58,0	87.5%
MEM 97, PHX 91	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.3,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.31,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.65,0.54,0.61,0.46,0.55,0.27,0	87.3%