NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	97		Excitement	8.1 [242]		MVP	Mike Conley (MEM): +41.8%
Phoenix Suns	91		Comeback	2.4 [375]		LVP	Goran Dragic (PHX): -30.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0.42	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.44,0.42	0.04	0.39	0.01	11	54%	0.42	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Zach Randolph	0.27	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.27	0.16	0.12	0.01	25	62%	0.29	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mike Miller	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.15	0.09	-0.00	11	95%	0.35	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.05	0.01	13	58%	0.13	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Tony Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.10	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Ed Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Calathes	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Courtney Lee	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.05	0.23	0.00	9	67%	0.29	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.09	-0.00	16	60%	0.23	3	-0.10	3	33%	-0.04
Channing Frye	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.14,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.05	-0.01	12	54%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	70%	0.11	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shavlik Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.08,-0.19,-0.2	-0.20	-0.06	-0.14	0.00	16	39%	-0.11	2	-0.09	1	0%	-0.02
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.31	-0.31	-0.07	-0.22	0.02	14	47%	-0.02	4	-0.28	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.6	34.0	15.6	22.4	2.5	36.2	138.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +52.6%

PHX -3.9%

MEM +4.0%

PHX -4.0%

MEM +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	PHX	NBA	MEM	PHX	NBA
this game	17.3	14.2	15.1	107.8	97.8	105.2
season	16.4	14.7		104.5	107.7
opponent	14.9	15.2		105.0	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	19.8	18.0	16.7	15.2	17.3
PHX	15.5	12.8	14.0	14.8	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Miller	57	58	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.28	12	-6	18	16.4	18.8	-2.34	14.8	13.4	1.36
Tayshaun Prince	54	58	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.45	5	1	4	16.5	18.4	-1.85	13.7	15.1	-1.34
Marc Gasol	73	75	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.40	6	0	6	16.4	21.2	-4.81	14.0	15.3	-1.28
Zach Randolph	71	73	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.32	2	4	-2	18.5	12.8	5.62	14.0	15.1	-1.09
Mike Conley	69	71	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.30	2	4	-2	17.1	17.7	-0.57	14.8	12.5	2.23
Nick Calathes	21	22	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	2	2	17.7	17.1	0.57	12.5	14.8	-2.23
Tony Allen	41	42	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.06	5	1	4	16.0	18.4	-2.44	14.4	14.2	0.20
Ed Davis	14	15	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	3	0	18.9	17.0	1.87	18.3	13.5	4.87
Kosta Koufos	17	18	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.06	-1	7	-8	19.6	16.7	2.92	15.2	14.0	1.21
Courtney Lee	33	33	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.01	-8	14	-22	19.2	16.2	3.01	12.8	15.0	-2.26

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shavlik Randolph	16	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-4	2	15.4	14.0	1.44	17.0	17.3	-0.33
Ish Smith	8	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-5	4	11.4	14.5	-3.14	16.9	17.3	-0.43
Gerald Green	36	34	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-3	0	15.0	13.8	1.18	17.4	17.2	0.17
Marcus Morris	34	32	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-3	0	16.6	12.9	3.64	19.0	16.3	2.62
Markieff Morris	57	55	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.04	-3	-3	0	13.4	15.6	-2.23	16.1	19.1	-2.96
Channing Frye	59	58	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.42	6	-12	18	13.7	15.3	-1.60	16.9	18.0	-1.17
PJ Tucker	57	56	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-6	6	12.8	16.6	-3.77	16.5	18.6	-2.06
Goran Dragic	73	70	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.30	-5	-1	-4	14.5	13.2	1.27	16.7	19.2	-2.47
Eric Bledsoe	71	69	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.32	-6	0	-6	14.0	15.1	-1.10	17.7	16.0	1.73
Miles Plumlee	54	53	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.27	-13	7	-20	15.4	12.6	2.85	19.0	14.8	4.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.3,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.31,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.65,0.54,0.61,0.46,0.55,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 102, LAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.33,0.47,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.67,0.53,0.59,0.8,0.78,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.17,0	92.0%
TOR 100, HOU 99	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.34,0.37,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.58,0	91.4%
WAS 94, TOR 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.29,0.37,0.3,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.22,0.43,0.28,0	91.1%