NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	94		Excitement	9.1 [98]		MVP	Chris Webber (WAS): +25.4%
Toronto Raptors	92		Comeback	1.5 [619]		LVP	Juwan Howard (WAS): -33.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.07,0,-0.07,-0.17,0.25	-0.09	0.33	-0.01	23	55%	0.54	7	-0.29	5	40%	-0.05
Ledell Eackles	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	4	70%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Calbert Cheaney	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	12	52%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Harvey Grant	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	2	67%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Tracy Murray	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.07	-0.02	12	37%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	-0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.22,-0.15,-0.15,-0.03,-0.17	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	16	50%	-0.04	4	-0.13	4	50%	-0.03
Juwan Howard	-0.34	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.34	-0.03	-0.29	0.01	13	45%	-0.34	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.31

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.22	0.22	0.05	0.19	0.02	14	60%	0.25	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.08	0.00	7	88%	0.19	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Zan Tabak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.03	-0.01	10	75%	0.17	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Garner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Respert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	0.00	12	46%	0.05	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Slater	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	3	12%	-0.09	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.13	-0.04	19	43%	-0.11	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.2	-0.20	0.01	-0.19	0.01	6	67%	0.05	2	-0.25	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.3	24.7	15.3	21.6	2.5	30.4	119.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +4.3%

TOR -19.1%

WAS +45.4%

WAS +17.3%

WAS +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	TOR	NBA	WAS	TOR	NBA
this game	15.8	16.5	15.6	105.6	103.4	102.5
season	15.1	15.5		102.8	98.7
opponent	14.8	15.6		108.2	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.6	14.3	15.6	19.2	15.8
TOR	15.4	17.0	17.1	16.8	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Webber	80	81	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.41	7	-5	12	15.7	17.1	-1.41	16.8	14.0	2.77
Juwan Howard	78	78	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.43	2	0	2	15.2	20.1	-4.85	16.0	20.3	-4.29
Calbert Cheaney	74	74	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.54	-2	4	-6	15.4	18.1	-2.67	16.4	17.3	-0.98
Rod Strickland	84	84	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.45	0	2	-2	15.6	20.0	-4.40	16.1	24.2	-8.14
Darvin Ham	55	52	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.42	-6	8	-14	16.1	15.4	0.70	15.4	18.1	-2.72
Ledell Eackles	22	22	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.01	5	-3	8	19.0	14.8	4.13	19.1	15.7	3.42
Tracy Murray	40	42	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.08	5	-3	8	15.9	15.8	0.10	17.7	15.4	2.31
Chris Whitney	5	5	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	0	2	20.0	15.6	4.40	24.2	16.1	8.14
Harvey Grant	7	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.06	-3	5	-8	16.7	15.8	0.95	14.3	16.7	-2.42

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	4	4	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-5	8	7.0	17.0	-9.96	18.7	15.7	3.04
Zan Tabak	13	12	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.05	0	-2	2	15.2	16.7	-1.51	15.0	16.0	-0.97
John Wallace	43	44	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.08	3	-5	8	17.2	15.9	1.34	15.5	16.2	-0.72
Reggie Slater	26	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.04	1	-3	4	16.7	16.4	0.25	15.6	16.0	-0.39
Chris Garner	9	8	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	3	-8	17.7	16.4	1.28	16.7	15.8	1.00
Shawn Respert	14	15	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	0	-2	18.6	16.1	2.52	15.7	15.9	-0.21
Damon Stoudamire	71	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.45	4	-6	10	16.2	17.9	-1.72	15.6	16.9	-1.31
Oliver Miller	58	58	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	-1	0	16.7	16.1	0.64	16.6	14.4	2.23
Marcus Camby	61	61	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.38	-2	0	-2	15.9	17.8	-1.90	15.7	16.1	-0.44
Doug Christie	76	76	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.36	-6	4	-10	16.6	16.3	0.24	15.7	16.8	-1.09
Walt Williams	70	71	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.53	-5	3	-8	16.9	15.2	1.73	16.0	15.2	0.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.29,0.37,0.3,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.22,0.43,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 85, POR 81	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.51,0.47,0.26,0.16,0.16,0.31,0	92.2%
TOR 94, MIA 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.28,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.17,0.39,0.1,0.22,0.16,0	91.3%
MEM 102, DEN 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.19,0.23,0.19,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.39,0.3,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.35,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.19,0.31,0.29,0.38,0.31,0.21,0.33,0.42,0	91.2%