NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	85		Excitement	7.1 [382]		MVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): +22.5%
Portland Trail Blazers	81		Comeback	1.2 [234]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): -19.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Walker	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0,0.06,0.19,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.05	0.16	-0.01	22	58%	0.30	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	6	64%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	4	60%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Blount	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Walter McCarty	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Stith	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	9	53%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	9	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.08	-0.17	0.07	-0.02	16	35%	0.01	3	-0.10	8	62%	0.01
Kenny Anderson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	5	27%	-0.13	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.04

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.03	0.01	16	68%	0.21	2	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.02	7	57%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.00	9	60%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.07	0.05	-0.03	13	38%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	6	75%	0.10	2	-0.11	4	50%	-0.06
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	2	17%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	8	28%	-0.10	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	0.00	10	36%	-0.10	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.5	30.2	15.6	22.1	3.0	35.2	134.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +13.3%

BOS +7.6%

BOS +2.8%

BOS +23.9%

BOS +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	POR	NBA	BOS	POR	NBA
this game	17.0	16.3	15.5	98.8	93.1	100.9
season	15.1	15.8		99.7	103.9
opponent	15.8	15.4		100.3	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.8	15.0	19.4	18.1	17.0
POR	16.9	16.3	15.8	16.1	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryant Stith	63	67	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.33	9	-5	14	17.0	17.2	-0.22	15.9	17.7	-1.90
Paul Pierce	69	69	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.36	7	-3	10	17.3	15.7	1.63	16.5	15.3	1.20
Antoine Walker	75	77	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.31	4	0	4	17.1	16.5	0.64	16.3	16.5	-0.24
Kenny Anderson	50	50	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.16	8	-4	12	16.9	17.1	-0.17	17.1	15.2	1.82
Vitaly Potapenko	47	49	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.41	-3	7	-10	16.9	17.2	-0.26	15.7	17.1	-1.41
Mark Blount	40	39	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	-1	6	17.1	16.9	0.17	17.2	15.6	1.62
Milt Palacio	36	37	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.22	-4	8	-12	17.1	16.9	0.17	15.2	17.1	-1.82
Walter McCarty	3	2	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	5	-6	9.7	17.3	-7.61	14.5	16.3	-1.83
Eric Williams	47	45	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.09	-5	9	-14	17.0	17.0	-0.03	16.6	16.0	0.60

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Kemp	6	6	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-6	8	18.3	16.1	2.20	14.7	17.2	-2.52
Bonzi Wells	34	35	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.18	2	-6	8	16.1	16.4	-0.38	19.4	15.4	4.08
Greg Anthony	32	31	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-2	0	16.6	16.1	0.53	15.4	17.9	-2.54
Steven Smith	50	49	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-1	-2	16.2	16.4	-0.16	17.0	17.0	0.02
Stacey Augmon	27	27	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	2	-8	17.0	16.0	1.03	17.6	16.7	0.90
Arvydas Sabonis	47	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.42	6	-10	16	15.8	16.9	-1.09	17.2	16.7	0.49
Dale Davis	40	39	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.01	-9	5	-14	16.9	15.8	1.09	16.7	17.2	-0.49
Damon Stoudamire	61	62	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	-1	-2	15.9	17.3	-1.40	17.1	16.8	0.31
Rasheed Wallace	84	84	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.43	-1	-3	2	16.1	21.3	-5.23	17.0	16.0	1.04
Detlef Schrempf	54	50	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.38	-6	2	-8	16.5	16.0	0.46	16.1	18.2	-2.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.51,0.47,0.26,0.16,0.16,0.31,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 95, VAN 92	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.39,0.24,0.15,0.22,0.27,0	92.6%
PHI 109, ATL 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.33,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.32,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.47,0.36,0.54,0.33,0.32,0.11,0.06,0.01,0	92.5%
CHI 101, UTA 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.54,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.67,0.25,0.21,0.15,0.05,0	92.2%