NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	101		Excitement	8.0 [279]		MVP	Eddy Curry (CHI): +11.6%
Utah Jazz	99		Comeback	2.0 [448]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): -33.9%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddy Curry	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	13	66%	0.16	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.03
Chris Duhon	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11	0.02	0.09	-0.01	6	62%	0.12	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Ben Gordon	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.02	15	65%	0.16	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.06
Luol Deng	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.00	10	48%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Adrian Griffin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	0.01	5	46%	-0.01	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Antonio Davis	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	3	82%	0.04	4	-0.11	5	100%	0.04
Kirk Hinrich	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	11	50%	-0.04	1	-0.07	12	83%	0.07
Tyson Chandler	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	4	50%	-0.05	2	-0.06	6	83%	-0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	8	65%	0.11	1	-0.04	7	100%	0.06
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	12	69%	0.14	3	-0.10	5	80%	0.02
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	53%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Curtis Borchardt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	7	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	10	50%	-0.03	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.06	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	8	47%	-0.02	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	3	20%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.08
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.29,-0.34,-0.34,-0.43,-0.34	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.00	17	45%	-0.07	6	-0.27	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.5	28.4	14.6	32.2	2.3	41.3	148.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +6.0%

CHI +39.9%

UTA -26.9%

CHI +30.2%

CHI +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	UTA	NBA	CHI	UTA	NBA
this game	15.0	15.1	15.5	105.2	104.2	104.0
season	15.1	16.7		100.1	102.3
opponent	15.1	15.4		106.7	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.4	16.0	16.4	12.8	15.0
UTA	18.1	16.0	13.6	13.4	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddy Curry	53	52	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.33	10	-8	18	15.1	14.9	0.27	15.1	15.2	-0.07
Kirk Hinrich	95	93	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.42	2	0	2	15.1	8.0	7.08	15.2	11.0	4.24
Chris Duhon	45	44	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.46	0	2	-2	13.5	16.4	-2.86	15.7	14.7	0.95
Luol Deng	64	65	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.50	-3	5	-8	14.5	16.1	-1.67	16.0	13.3	2.75
Tyson Chandler	63	62	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.29	0	2	-2	15.6	14.0	1.59	14.1	17.2	-3.07
Ben Gordon	54	54	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	-1	4	15.5	14.4	1.08	14.2	16.4	-2.19
Adrian Griffin	24	23	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	-2	6	15.8	14.7	1.04	12.5	16.0	-3.52
Andres Nocioni	43	42	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	3	-4	14.3	15.6	-1.28	15.2	15.1	0.16
Antonio Davis	39	40	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.03	-5	7	-12	16.1	14.3	1.84	17.4	13.5	3.85

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	57	59	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.19	-3	1	-4	16.2	13.5	2.70	15.4	14.4	1.07
Gordan Giricek	36	35	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.07	5	-7	12	15.5	14.9	0.52	13.9	15.6	-1.73
Jarron Collins	36	35	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.02	3	-5	8	16.8	14.1	2.71	16.4	14.2	2.14
Curtis Borchardt	14	14	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.05	2	-4	6	17.2	14.8	2.42	15.6	14.9	0.74
Carlos Arroyo	56	56	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.22	4	-6	10	14.7	15.8	-1.14	14.7	15.4	-0.62
Carlos Boozer	74	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.48	4	-6	10	14.9	15.9	-0.97	14.8	15.6	-0.78
Howard Eisley	39	40	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.22	-6	4	-10	15.8	14.7	1.14	15.4	14.7	0.62
Raja Bell	59	61	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.37	-7	5	-12	14.9	15.5	-0.52	15.6	13.9	1.73
Mehmet Okur	51	52	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.37	-8	6	-14	14.0	16.5	-2.48	13.7	16.6	-2.88
Matt Harpring	53	53	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.59	-4	2	-6	13.7	17.0	-3.28	15.0	15.0	0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.54,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.67,0.25,0.21,0.15,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 85, POR 81	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.51,0.47,0.26,0.16,0.16,0.31,0	92.2%
BOS 97, CHA 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.46,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.02,0	91.8%
PHI 109, ATL 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.33,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.32,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.47,0.36,0.54,0.33,0.32,0.11,0.06,0.01,0	91.6%