NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	97		Excitement	8.0 [283]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +22.7%
Charlotte Bobcats	92		Comeback	1.4 [438]		LVP	Jason Hart (CHA): -25.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.23	0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.23,0.23	0.03	0.16	-0.04	18	63%	0.28	3	-0.06	16	81%	0.11
Raef LaFrentz	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	-0.00	8	75%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	4	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	4	64%	0.05	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Kendrick Perkins	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	37%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Mark Blount	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	7	37%	-0.06	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.05
Gary Payton	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	0.00	10	33%	-0.12	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Ricky Davis	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	10	42%	-0.07	3	-0.14	6	50%	-0.06

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.01	15	55%	0.16	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.00	8	60%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	19	48%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	0%	-0.11
Jamal Sampson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Bernard Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	11	62%	0.06	2	-0.07	7	57%	-0.05
Gerald Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	9	40%	-0.05	1	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.06	-0.00	3	0%	-0.12	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.05
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.25	-0.25	-0.11	-0.13	0.01	9	28%	-0.12	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.5	25.5	15.5	26.3	1.6	40.5	133.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA -7.3%

BOS +35.1%

BOS +14.8%

BOS +5.8%

BOS +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHA	NBA	BOS	CHA	NBA
this game	14.0	16.5	15.5	102.1	97.9	104.0
season	14.4	15.5		104.7	99.0
opponent	15.1	16.0		105.4	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	11.3	14.0	13.2	17.6	14.0
CHA	18.2	16.6	16.8	14.4	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	69	69	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.39	12	-7	19	13.3	15.7	-2.34	16.7	16.1	0.62
Gary Payton	75	74	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.41	6	-1	7	13.7	14.8	-1.07	16.5	16.5	-0.02
Mark Blount	64	63	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.44	4	1	3	14.5	12.8	1.76	16.0	17.7	-1.76
Ricky Davis	64	61	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.31	6	-1	7	14.7	12.5	2.14	16.0	17.5	-1.47
Al Jefferson	36	35	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.25	3	2	1	16.6	12.3	4.27	16.9	16.3	0.61
Raef LaFrentz	58	58	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.16	2	3	-1	11.7	17.5	-5.74	17.0	15.7	1.31
Marcus Banks	21	21	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.05	-1	6	-7	14.3	13.9	0.42	16.1	16.7	-0.56
Kendrick Perkins	29	29	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.09	0	5	-5	14.7	13.6	1.05	17.6	16.1	1.47
Tony Allen	38	39	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.01	-4	9	-13	13.2	14.5	-1.29	17.4	15.9	1.50
Jiri Welsch	21	21	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.05	-3	8	-11	14.7	13.8	0.91	14.6	17.1	-2.46

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kapono	41	43	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.12	11	-16	27	14.4	18.2	-3.76	14.3	13.7	0.67
Bernard Robinson	11	11	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.14	0	-5	5	15.2	16.7	-1.53	16.0	13.7	2.31
Jamal Sampson	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-5	5	15.8	16.6	-0.80	13.2	14.1	-0.93
Melvin Ely	26	26	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.12	-5	0	-5	14.9	17.2	-2.28	12.2	14.6	-2.38
Keith Bogans	39	40	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.22	-1	-4	3	15.9	17.0	-1.08	15.4	12.9	2.53
Gerald Wallace	45	45	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	5	-15	18.6	14.6	4.01	12.2	15.6	-3.42
Emeka Okafor	72	74	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.49	6	-11	17	17.5	13.4	4.14	14.7	11.4	3.25
Jason Hart	84	85	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.43	-6	1	-7	16.5	16.7	-0.19	13.6	16.6	-2.95
Kareem Rush	64	64	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.35	-11	6	-17	16.7	16.3	0.39	13.7	14.4	-0.64
Primoz Brezec	75	74	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.41	-9	4	-13	16.6	16.1	0.53	14.3	12.7	1.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.46,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 92, CHI 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.27,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.43,0.53,0.47,0.59,0.46,0.2,0.21,0.01,0,0	92.7%
MEM 84, SAS 82	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.59,0.65,0.47,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.1,0	92.6%
MEM 103, DEN 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.58,0.42,0.59,0.47,0.39,0.19,0.21,0.11,0.02,0	92.5%