NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	92		Excitement	7.0 [400]		MVP	Hakim Warrick (CHI): +11.4%
Chicago Bulls	85		Comeback	1.4 [969]		LVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): -21.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.1,0.11	0.00	0.10	-0.00	21	54%	0.24	5	-0.13	12	92%	0.06
Jawad Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	8	56%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Anthony Parker	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	10	43%	0.05	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Leon Powe	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Anderson Varejao	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	37%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Antawn Jamison	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.05	-0.06	0.04	10	78%	0.11	5	-0.16	3	100%	0.00
JJ Hickson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	3	67%	0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	11	38%	-0.04	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.10	-0.00	6	50%	0.15	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Acie Law	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	14	62%	0.11	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Chris Richard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	0	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Joe Alexander	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	7	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.02	-0.08	0.01	11	62%	0.10	3	-0.17	4	75%	0.01
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	9	33%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.03	17	35%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.10	-0.13	-0.01	18	28%	-0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.5	30.3	15.8	23.4	2.6	33.4	135.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +30.9%

CLE +12.2%

CLE +22.4%

CHI -15.5%

CHI -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHI	NBA	CLE	CHI	NBA
this game	16.7	13.5	15.3	97.9	87.6	106.0
season	16.1	14.7		109.5	101.9
opponent	15.7	15.0		103.9	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.2	17.0	16.4	19.9	16.7
CHI	14.1	14.3	12.4	13.2	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anderson Varejao	63	66	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.30	12	-5	17	17.7	14.8	2.89	13.7	13.1	0.63
Delonte West	59	62	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.27	11	-4	15	17.5	15.4	2.14	14.0	12.7	1.27
Antawn Jamison	58	57	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.34	8	-1	9	16.2	17.5	-1.32	12.2	15.3	-3.11
LeBron James	75	77	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.39	5	2	3	16.5	17.6	-1.09	12.8	16.3	-3.53
Anthony Parker	46	48	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	4	-1	16.8	16.7	0.09	13.4	13.6	-0.24
Mo Williams	63	63	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.04	3	4	-1	16.6	17.0	-0.48	13.6	13.3	0.26
Jawad Williams	39	41	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	8	-9	16.1	17.1	-1.00	14.2	13.0	1.17
JJ Hickson	35	35	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	9	-11	14.9	17.8	-2.82	13.0	13.8	-0.77
Leon Powe	32	36	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.02	-4	11	-15	17.7	16.2	1.48	15.6	12.2	3.41

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Acie Law	20	19	0.19	-0.69	0.87	0.10	3	-10	13	14.0	13.4	0.64	17.2	16.6	0.56
Chris Richard	28	28	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.05	0	-7	7	13.9	13.3	0.51	16.6	16.7	-0.10
Joe Alexander	1	2	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.03	0	-7	7	3.0	13.6	-10.60	10.0	16.9	-6.86
Hakim Warrick	28	26	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.08	-1	-6	5	15.2	12.8	2.47	18.0	16.2	1.73
Jannero Pargo	54	53	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-3	-1	13.5	13.5	0.05	15.9	17.8	-1.85
Brad Miller	64	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.22	-4	-3	-1	13.2	14.1	-0.90	16.3	17.5	-1.19
James Johnson	73	72	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.43	-1	-6	5	13.0	15.0	-2.06	16.7	16.8	-0.14
Kirk Hinrich	83	81	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.31	-6	-1	-5	13.5	13.2	0.33	16.8	16.3	0.47
Taj Gibson	78	75	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.37	-7	0	-7	13.3	14.3	-1.02	16.6	17.1	-0.49
Ronald Murray	56	52	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.19	-15	8	-23	13.6	13.3	0.35	17.6	15.6	2.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.27,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.43,0.53,0.47,0.59,0.46,0.2,0.21,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 94, SAS 81	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.38,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.49,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.64,0.53,0.4,0.25,0.07,0,0,0	93.7%
LAC 120, SAS 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.54,0.14,0.06,0.01,0,0	92.8%
BOS 97, CHA 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.46,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.02,0	92.7%