NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	120		Excitement	7.3 [287]		MVP	Mo Williams (LAC): +55.1%
San Antonio Spurs	108		Comeback	1.4 [393]		LVP	Matt Bonner (SAS): -12.7%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0.55	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.32,0.32,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55	0.29	0.26	-0.00	19	82%	0.55	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	0.26	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.24	0.05	0.02	20	73%	0.29	1	-0.03	9	100%	0.03
Blake Griffin	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.07	-0.01	14	48%	0.12	3	-0.08	3	33%	-0.02
Randy Foye	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.02	0.06	12	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Caron Butler	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.04	0.00	8	70%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Reggie Evans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	1	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Eric Bledsoe	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	6	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.10	0.17	-0.01	10	85%	0.38	4	-0.10	6	100%	0.05
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	10	60%	0.11	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.03
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.05	0.01	5	57%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	6	83%	0.12	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.04,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	-0.04	0.03	13	62%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.01	13	46%	-0.04	0	0.00	11	27%	-0.11
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	5	36%	-0.01	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	9	28%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	1.8	31.2	15.7	33.1	1.8	35.2	147.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +37.5%

SAS -2.5%

LAC +13.6%

LAC +5.5%

SAS -4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SAS	NBA	LAC	SAS	NBA
this game	15.8	15.0	15.6	127.7	116.1	102.8
season	16.2	15.3		106.0	109.1
opponent	15.2	15.7		101.5	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.5	14.8	14.7	16.4	15.8
SAS	16.0	14.0	16.0	14.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Simmons	58	56	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.10	20	-8	28	14.5	17.9	-3.38	14.5	15.9	-1.40
Mo Williams	72	68	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.16	16	-4	20	15.2	17.7	-2.55	14.8	15.6	-0.85
Chris Paul	75	75	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.11	14	-2	16	15.4	17.3	-1.93	14.9	15.7	-0.87
Blake Griffin	69	69	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.32	4	8	-4	15.8	15.8	-0.03	14.9	15.5	-0.64
Randy Foye	64	64	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.18	1	11	-10	15.9	15.6	0.26	14.9	15.3	-0.42
Eric Bledsoe	10	11	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.09	10	2	8	15.6	15.8	-0.20	15.1	15.0	0.08
DeAndre Jordan	8	11	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.04	-3	15	-18	17.5	15.6	1.88	16.5	14.8	1.73
Reggie Evans	52	50	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.15	3	9	-6	17.2	14.0	3.21	15.5	14.4	1.12
Caron Butler	62	61	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	17	-22	16.7	14.0	2.65	15.6	13.9	1.70

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeJuan Blair	38	38	0.22	-0.72	0.93	-0.11	11	-23	34	14.5	15.4	-0.84	16.1	15.6	0.55
Tim Duncan	55	56	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.09	8	-20	28	15.4	14.4	1.02	16.5	14.7	1.79
Cory Joseph	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-12	12	8.0	15.2	-7.18	11.5	15.9	-4.37
James Anderson	12	14	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	-10	8	14.7	15.1	-0.31	14.4	16.0	-1.67
Gary Neal	63	63	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	-1	-10	15.9	13.3	2.59	16.4	14.5	1.88
Kawhi Leonard	41	41	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.07	-6	-6	0	14.0	15.8	-1.87	15.0	16.4	-1.33
Matt Bonner	43	43	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	0	-12	15.5	14.6	0.91	16.3	15.3	1.05
Richard Jefferson	47	46	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.12	-8	-4	-4	16.1	14.0	2.11	16.3	15.2	1.12
Danny Green	73	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.17	-9	-3	-6	14.6	16.4	-1.76	15.7	16.1	-0.47
Manu Ginobili	54	57	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.13	-13	1	-14	14.5	15.7	-1.16	14.9	17.1	-2.15
Tiago Splitter	37	37	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.13	-18	6	-24	14.7	15.2	-0.57	15.0	16.3	-1.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.54,0.14,0.06,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 92, CHI 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.27,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.43,0.53,0.47,0.59,0.46,0.2,0.21,0.01,0,0	92.8%
DAL 122, WAS 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.24,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.19,0.28,0.33,0.45,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.41,0.33,0.19,0.15,0.01,0,0	92.5%
DEN 100, BOS 99	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.31,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.4,0.34,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.53,0.25,0.16,0.06,0.08,0	91.8%