NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	122		Excitement	7.9 [296]		MVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DAL): +18.7%
Washington Wizards	113		Comeback	2.8 [301]		LVP	Jarvis Hayes (WAS): -14.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.08	0.14	0.04	18	67%	0.27	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.03
Jason Terry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	8	65%	0.10	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Shawn Bradley	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	7	64%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.03	-0.01	15	78%	0.28	7	-0.25	11	82%	0.01
DJ Mbenga	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	7	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	10	57%	0.04	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Erick Dampier	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.04	0.02	9	52%	0.02	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02
Alan Henderson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	5	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.07	0.02	10	83%	0.20	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.02	16	57%	0.09	3	-0.09	8	87%	0.02
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	58%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	0.00	7	36%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.00	-0.08	0.02	17	57%	0.04	4	-0.14	1	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.06	0.04	18	53%	-0.05	3	-0.08	7	86%	0.02
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	13	42%	-0.09	2	-0.05	7	86%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.3	2.4	31.3	15.5	28.4	1.8	31.3	131.1
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +54.5%

WAS -1.8%

WAS -0.1%

WAS -3.0%

DAL +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	WAS	NBA	DAL	WAS	NBA
this game	15.3	14.1	15.5	125.8	114.1	104.0
season	14.9	14.7		108.2	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.5		105.5	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.7	12.8	17.2	14.5	15.3
WAS	11.6	15.4	13.5	16.2	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	64	64	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.04	22	-13	35	15.1	15.5	-0.37	15.2	12.2	3.03
Jerry Stackhouse	75	76	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.14	18	-9	27	15.5	14.5	0.93	14.6	12.5	2.15
Dirk Nowitzki	79	79	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.38	3	6	-3	15.1	16.1	-0.97	13.5	16.7	-3.28
Alan Henderson	60	60	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.24	4	5	-1	17.3	11.9	5.46	14.9	13.0	1.91
Marquis Daniels	60	62	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.05	6	3	3	14.0	17.3	-3.32	14.7	13.1	1.63
DJ Mbenga	8	9	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.08	9	0	9	12.5	15.5	-3.02	18.9	13.7	5.23
Shawn Bradley	11	11	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	5	-1	13.6	15.5	-1.84	13.5	14.2	-0.76
Calvin Booth	3	3	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.05	4	5	-1	11.3	15.4	-4.06	14.7	14.1	0.55
Josh Howard	37	40	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.09	-4	13	-17	13.5	16.4	-2.88	12.5	15.2	-2.70
Erick Dampier	65	66	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.27	-10	19	-29	16.5	12.7	3.76	13.2	16.0	-2.80
Devin Harris	23	25	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.11	-11	20	-31	15.0	15.3	-0.29	12.2	14.8	-2.58

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Peeler	15	14	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.00	3	-12	15	15.5	13.9	1.65	16.9	15.0	1.94
Juan Dixon	24	22	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.12	-2	-7	5	16.3	13.4	2.85	16.2	15.0	1.24
Michael Ruffin	10	10	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	0	-9	18.7	13.6	5.08	12.6	15.6	-2.97
Antawn Jamison	89	87	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-9	9	13.6	19.0	-5.42	15.7	11.8	3.87
Brendan Haywood	84	82	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.25	0	-9	9	13.6	16.9	-3.30	15.8	12.4	3.39
Jarvis Hayes	68	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.27	-1	-8	7	13.8	14.9	-1.12	14.2	17.7	-3.45
Jared Jeffries	46	44	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.03	-17	8	-25	15.6	12.8	2.80	15.7	14.9	0.80
Larry Hughes	77	77	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.25	-10	1	-11	13.7	15.7	-2.05	15.1	15.8	-0.73
Gilbert Arenas	82	81	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.33	-9	0	-9	13.7	16.4	-2.68	14.9	17.3	-2.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.24,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.19,0.28,0.33,0.45,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.41,0.33,0.19,0.15,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 120, SAS 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.54,0.14,0.06,0.01,0,0	92.5%
PHX 94, SAS 81	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.38,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.49,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.64,0.53,0.4,0.25,0.07,0,0,0	91.8%
CLE 92, CHI 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.27,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.43,0.53,0.47,0.59,0.46,0.2,0.21,0.01,0,0	91.3%