inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 94 Excitement9.5 [103] MVPShaquille O'Neal (MIA): +25.5%
Miami Heat 92 Comeback1.4 [501] LVPDamon Jones (MIA): -23.1%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Morris Peterson0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.050.060.00570%0.1000.0000%0.00
Donyell Marshall0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.23,0.080.060.02-0.001357%0.0800.002100%0.02
Jalen Rose0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06-0.000.060.001557%0.162-0.111283%0.10
Rafael Araujo0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.000100%0.0300.004100%0.03
Rafer Alston0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.030.060.011246%0.092-0.0700%0.00
Lamond Murray-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00450%-0.0200.00475%0.01
Matt Bonner-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00540%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Milt Palacio-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00175%0.052-0.09250%-0.01
Loren Woods-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.09-0.05-0.01517%-0.121-0.0220%-0.06
Chris Bosh-0.180,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.08-0.10-0.001146%-0.053-0.12450%-0.05
Vince Carter-0.200,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.11-0.10-0.00926%-0.152-0.051100%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.260.260.170.100.011579%0.271-0.021377%0.01
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,0.090.09-0.070.15-0.011655%0.225-0.13862%-0.03
Keyon Dooling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.000.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Christian Laettner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.000.00743%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Michael Doleac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.02-0.00333%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Shandon Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.020.00233%-0.0400.0020%-0.05
Rasual Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.030.0020%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.080.020.011644%0.013-0.084100%0.03
Wesley Person0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.04-0.00721%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Eddie Jones0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.16-0.06-0.01420%-0.085-0.122100%0.01
Damon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,0,-0.08,-0.23-0.23-0.04-0.19-0.00625%-0.2300.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.22.633.216.030.22.738.3145.2
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +11.3%
TOR +25.3%
TOR +26.7%
MIA -17.4%
TOR +4.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORMIANBATORMIANBA
this game15.815.715.5103.3100.0104.0
season15.115.7104.8107.9
opponent15.515.4101.1106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR13.314.716.219.815.8
MIA16.015.314.417.215.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rafer Alston69720.51-0.010.520.423-1415.217.5-2.3115.615.9-0.27
Donyell Marshall46470.470.030.440.277-51217.514.13.4114.716.7-2.05
Vince Carter51530.440.060.380.3820214.517.4-2.9617.013.93.06
Jalen Rose66670.350.150.200.3502-215.017.8-2.7114.818.1-3.29
Milt Palacio30290.250.250.000.28-13-417.115.12.0016.215.40.76
Chris Bosh73740.240.26-0.020.2402-215.516.8-1.3015.715.50.23
Morris Peterson36340.150.35-0.210.063-1417.614.63.0114.416.4-2.07
Rafael Araujo870.090.41-0.320.003-1412.516.1-3.6114.015.8-1.82
Matt Bonner18180.070.43-0.370.0120216.815.51.3015.515.7-0.23
Lamond Murray2121-0.010.51-0.510.02-13-418.115.13.0016.915.31.52
Loren Woods3738-0.060.56-0.620.17-810-1814.416.7-2.3417.214.62.64

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rasual Butler15150.03-0.530.57-0.022-4616.415.50.8516.015.70.25
Christian Laettner18180.02-0.520.55-0.011-3414.216.0-1.8217.115.51.65
Wesley Person5454-0.03-0.470.44-0.206-81415.416.1-0.6315.516.2-0.67
Keyon Dooling55-0.09-0.410.33-0.03-20-223.415.28.1611.416.0-4.65
Shandon Anderson1211-0.13-0.370.24-0.01-42-613.016.1-3.0915.715.8-0.07
Michael Doleac99-0.14-0.360.23-0.05-31-420.015.24.7812.816.1-3.34
Udonis Haslem7879-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.25-42-615.914.41.5715.616.8-1.20
Shaquille O'Neal7775-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.370-2215.417.3-1.9715.915.50.35
Eddie Jones5655-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.38-20-216.314.71.6714.817.3-2.55
Damon Jones5149-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.470-2214.816.7-1.8918.013.24.74
Dwyane Wade8585-0.530.03-0.57-0.42-42-615.616.1-0.5015.716.8-1.12


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.28,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.17,0.39,0.1,0.22,0.16,0
GameSimilarity Score
DET 100, SAC 940.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.34,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.21,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.08,092.9%
ATL 85, CHI 740.5,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.41,0.3,0.34,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.24,0.07,0.01,0,092.8%
LAL 91, PHX 820.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.5,0.37,0.43,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.19,0.23,0.24,0.01,092.7%