NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	97		Excitement	4.2 [970]		MVP	George Lynch (CHH): +8.2%
Charlotte Hornets	115		Comeback	1.0 [915]		LVP	Keith Van Horn (NJN): -9.4%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	61%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Jason Collins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Kenyon Martin	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	11	52%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Anthony Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Donny Marshall	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	0.00	0.04	10	59%	-0.01	2	-0.04	7	57%	-0.01
Aaron Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	9	43%	-0.02	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	13	46%	0.04	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	8	55%	0.00	3	-0.10	6	83%	-0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Lynch	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	6	86%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
David Wesley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.06	17	58%	0.08	5	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	94%	0.08	4	-0.05	11	91%	0.03
Elden Campbell	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	64%	0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	6	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	8	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Haston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.13	0.03	-0.02	24	45%	0.00	4	-0.09	10	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	478.7	2.6	32.2	19.7	32.2	3.6	35.2	604.2
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +27.9%

CHH +5.3%

CHH +5.0%

CHH +9.6%

CHH +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CHH	NBA	NJN	CHH	NBA
this game	14.5	15.7	15.6	101.0	121.1	102.3
season	14.7	15.9		101.4	102.2
opponent	15.6	16.0		101.1	98.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.2	15.9	14.6	13.3	14.5
CHH	15.8	19.3	12.5	16.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donny Marshall	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-19	20	12.8	14.6	-1.76	14.0	15.8	-1.80
Brian Scalabrine	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-19	20	11.1	14.8	-3.66	14.7	15.8	-1.12
Jason Collins	35	35	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-16	14	15.7	13.8	1.85	17.8	14.4	3.35
Anthony Johnson	38	36	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.18	3	-21	24	15.3	13.9	1.34	17.2	14.7	2.52
Aaron Williams	38	37	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	-11	4	15.5	13.8	1.65	15.8	15.6	0.16
Lucious Harris	36	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.14	-12	-6	-6	16.3	13.4	2.97	17.0	14.9	2.04
Todd MacCulloch	37	38	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	-12	6	14.2	14.6	-0.43	15.5	15.8	-0.35
Richard Jefferson	49	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.04	-9	-9	0	15.2	13.7	1.44	15.6	15.8	-0.26
Kerry Kittles	54	54	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-11	4	13.4	15.8	-2.41	15.0	16.5	-1.50
Keith Van Horn	51	51	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	-6	-6	13.8	15.2	-1.44	16.1	15.2	0.85
Jason Kidd	58	59	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.21	-21	3	-24	13.9	15.3	-1.34	14.7	17.2	-2.52
Kenyon Martin	70	68	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.09	-19	1	-20	13.9	16.1	-2.24	14.6	18.4	-3.86

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wesley	86	87	0.59	-0.09	0.69	-0.11	24	-6	30	15.5	17.4	-1.94	14.8	11.1	3.72
P.J. Brown	72	74	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.04	17	1	16	15.6	15.9	-0.24	15.2	12.0	3.28
George Lynch	74	74	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.24	26	-8	34	14.7	19.0	-4.26	14.1	15.9	-1.86
Baron Davis	82	83	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.07	20	-2	22	15.5	17.1	-1.61	14.3	15.7	-1.40
Jamaal Magloire	53	56	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.02	11	7	4	14.1	17.7	-3.64	13.6	15.6	-2.01
Elden Campbell	41	40	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.01	7	11	-4	17.6	14.2	3.43	15.6	13.6	2.01
Lee Nailon	32	33	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	17	-16	17.4	14.8	2.64	14.8	14.3	0.52
Kirk Haston	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	19	-20	14.0	15.8	-1.80	12.8	14.6	-1.76
Bryce Drew	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	19	-20	14.7	15.8	-1.12	11.1	14.8	-3.66
Robert Traylor	13	12	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.15	-8	26	-34	17.5	15.4	2.06	10.3	15.1	-4.74
Stacey Augmon	7	7	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.08	-6	24	-30	23.3	15.1	8.21	19.7	14.1	5.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 72, NJN 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	95.7%
ATL 84, MIA 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.88,0.94,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
WAS 88, MIN 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%