NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	72		Excitement	3.7 [1044]		MVP	Kenyon Martin (NJN): +10.4%
New Jersey Nets	89		Comeback	1.1 [999]		LVP	Robert Traylor (NOH): -8.9%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Brown	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	9	56%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Moiso	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	5	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
George Lynch	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	14	33%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.01
Courtney Alexander	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	11	46%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	4	40%	-0.01	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	12	50%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	17	45%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Robert Traylor	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	9	11%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.00	0.04	-0.06	17	57%	0.14	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.06	7	37%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	13	46%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.03	13	64%	0.04	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.02
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	10	45%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	55%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	62%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.7	26.0	14.8	25.2	2.5	24.6	119.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +39.6%

NJN +7.0%

NJN +0.0%

NJN +1.5%

NJN +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	NJN	NBA	NOH	NJN	NBA
this game	15.3	17.6	15.5	81.8	102.3	101.6
season	15.9	15.0		101.6	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.6		96.1	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	15.1	14.8	18.8	13.2	15.3
NJN	16.9	19.0	17.2	17.4	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Lynch	14	14	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.09	-3	-14	11	14.0	15.6	-1.59	17.7	17.6	0.15
Jerome Moiso	37	36	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.15	4	-21	25	13.3	16.8	-3.57	19.1	16.5	2.65
Stacey Augmon	18	20	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.11	-8	-9	1	14.8	15.5	-0.71	15.6	18.2	-2.58
Jamaal Magloire	50	51	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.14	-1	-16	15	14.7	16.2	-1.44	18.6	16.2	2.42
Courtney Alexander	50	48	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.09	-4	-13	9	14.8	16.0	-1.21	18.2	16.8	1.39
David Wesley	65	62	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.13	-7	-10	3	14.8	16.9	-2.13	18.4	15.5	2.90
Robert Traylor	38	36	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.13	-16	-1	-15	16.2	14.7	1.44	16.2	18.6	-2.42
Jamal Mashburn	67	65	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.15	-8	-9	1	15.3	15.4	-0.12	17.7	17.2	0.48
Robert Pack	50	52	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.16	-21	4	-25	17.2	12.9	4.31	16.6	19.1	-2.46
P.J. Brown	51	51	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.15	-21	4	-25	16.8	13.3	3.57	16.5	19.1	-2.65

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Johnson	61	59	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.27	27	-10	37	16.8	19.5	-2.73	16.8	12.4	4.31
Kenyon Martin	78	80	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.05	18	-1	19	17.4	19.1	-1.70	15.6	13.1	2.44
Brian Scalabrine	76	76	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.06	18	-1	19	17.6	17.6	-0.06	15.5	14.2	1.26
Jason Collins	67	66	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	4	9	17.0	19.5	-2.49	15.7	14.4	1.24
Kerry Kittles	60	59	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.08	9	8	1	17.5	17.8	-0.28	16.1	13.9	2.21
Lucious Harris	46	47	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.21	-2	19	-21	18.3	16.8	1.57	13.6	17.3	-3.70
Aaron Williams	40	42	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.08	2	15	-13	18.9	16.5	2.43	14.1	16.5	-2.34
Chris Childs	7	11	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	17	-17	20.6	17.3	3.25	11.2	15.9	-4.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 69, IND 90	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.83,0.86,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
IND 93, ATL 108	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.71,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
TOR 97, CLE 120	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%