NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	93		Excitement	4.5 [949]		MVP	Mike Bibby (ATL): +17.9%
Atlanta Hawks	108		Comeback	1.0 [1171]		LVP	Roy Hibbert (IND): -11.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Foster	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
A.J. Price	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	30%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.03	7	62%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Danny Granger	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	12	57%	0.04	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Mike Dunleavy	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Brandon Rush	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	8	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Paul George	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	10	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	6	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.01	-0.02	14	42%	0.03	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
T.J. Ford	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Roy Hibbert	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	8	44%	-0.02	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.05	0.00	7	88%	0.20	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.02	0.05	18	59%	0.08	2	-0.03	10	80%	0.02
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	14	47%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.02	15	57%	0.05	3	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.02	1	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.08	-0.01	0.08	19	62%	0.03	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	1	67%	0.00	2	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	3	0%	-0.03	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	36.1	16.5	24.4	1.7	28.4	134.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +15.6%

ATL +12.6%

ATL +6.4%

ATL +12.9%

ATL +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ATL	NBA	IND	ATL	NBA
this game	13.5	16.3	15.5	96.9	111.3	105.7
season	14.7	16.5		103.1	104.0
opponent	15.5	15.4		105.1	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.8	12.2	15.2	12.8	13.5
ATL	14.4	17.1	16.7	17.2	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Solomon Jones	13	14	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-15	15	12.2	13.7	-1.47	17.6	16.1	1.45
A.J. Price	12	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.04	-2	-13	11	12.4	13.7	-1.24	17.5	16.1	1.40
Paul George	43	42	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.14	4	-19	23	13.4	13.6	-0.15	16.3	16.4	-0.12
Brandon Rush	41	43	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-13	11	11.8	14.8	-3.04	16.1	16.5	-0.47
Jeff Foster	40	41	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.10	-1	-14	13	13.4	13.6	-0.13	15.9	16.6	-0.70
James Posey	30	29	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-13	11	14.0	13.3	0.78	15.9	16.5	-0.67
T.J. Ford	27	28	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	-8	1	13.9	13.3	0.59	15.4	16.7	-1.32
Darren Collison	57	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	-9	3	13.5	13.5	0.06	16.5	16.1	0.44
Roy Hibbert	38	37	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	-3	-9	14.2	13.0	1.18	16.8	16.0	0.78
Danny Granger	72	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.16	-18	3	-21	13.7	12.9	0.83	17.0	14.1	2.84
Tyler Hansbrough	46	45	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	-3	-9	14.2	12.9	1.25	15.6	16.9	-1.28
Mike Dunleavy	61	62	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.02	-17	2	-19	13.6	13.3	0.29	16.2	16.6	-0.38

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Smith	75	76	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.02	20	-5	25	15.9	18.0	-2.10	14.4	9.9	4.48
Al Horford	69	67	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.16	22	-7	29	16.7	15.4	1.27	14.0	12.3	1.75
Joe Johnson	64	63	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.13	20	-5	25	17.1	14.9	2.15	14.3	12.0	2.29
Mike Bibby	55	53	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.05	15	0	15	16.9	15.5	1.42	14.4	12.3	2.09
Jamal Crawford	66	66	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.13	16	-1	17	15.9	17.2	-1.32	13.3	14.0	-0.73
Maurice Evans	57	58	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.18	3	12	-9	16.4	16.2	0.26	13.6	13.4	0.13
Damien Wilkins	22	21	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.10	-2	17	-19	16.1	16.4	-0.31	11.0	14.2	-3.20
Josh Powell	17	17	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.14	-4	19	-23	15.6	16.5	-0.90	11.7	13.9	-2.18
Jeff Teague	11	11	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	16	-17	15.4	16.5	-1.09	12.9	13.6	-0.67
Jordan Crawford	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	19	-23	15.9	16.4	-0.51	10.1	13.8	-3.62
Zaza Pachulia	42	41	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.21	-10	25	-35	15.9	16.6	-0.71	11.5	15.0	-3.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.71,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 72, NJN 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	96.0%
CLE 99, DET 117	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.7%
SAS 73, MIN 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%