NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	73		Excitement	4.2 [1002]		MVP	Ndudi Ebi (MIN): +7.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves	95		Comeback	1.1 [1184]		LVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): -13.2%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean Marks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	7	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Beno Udrih	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	12	54%	0.07	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Mike Wilks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	7	57%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Glenn Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	13	52%	-0.01	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	8	39%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Massenburg	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	4	10%	-0.06	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Parker	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.02	7	47%	-0.02	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Tim Duncan	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.03	-0.04	8	17%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ndudi Ebi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	0.01	14	58%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	16	54%	0.06	3	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
John Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	67%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	11	45%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	0.01	11	57%	0.03	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	17	41%	-0.03	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	3	25%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	7	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.6	23.3	15.4	22.5	2.6	26.2	117.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +12.3%

MIN +3.5%

MIN +19.8%

MIN +13.0%

MIN +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	MIN	NBA	SAS	MIN	NBA
this game	15.9	16.1	15.5	81.1	105.6	104.0
season	16.3	15.8		105.8	106.2
opponent	15.9	15.6		104.6	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.4	14.0	15.4	17.9	15.9
MIN	15.6	16.7	16.6	15.7	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Horry	15	15	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-20	18	15.6	15.9	-0.31	16.8	16.0	0.79
Beno Udrih	44	45	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.07	-7	-15	8	15.7	16.0	-0.25	16.8	15.5	1.22
Bruce Bowen	49	50	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.01	-5	-17	12	15.5	16.2	-0.71	16.4	15.9	0.49
Sean Marks	44	44	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.13	-10	-12	2	15.6	16.1	-0.43	16.5	15.8	0.70
Nazr Mohammed	46	45	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	-17	12	16.3	15.4	0.87	16.2	16.1	0.02
Mike Wilks	38	39	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.07	-9	-13	4	15.8	15.9	-0.02	16.1	16.2	-0.03
Tony Massenburg	38	38	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.24	-18	-4	-14	15.9	15.8	0.16	15.4	16.7	-1.30
Tim Duncan	42	42	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	-10	-2	16.0	15.7	0.23	16.2	16.1	0.09
Glenn Robinson	52	52	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.07	-13	-9	-4	15.6	16.2	-0.57	15.9	16.5	-0.57
Tony Parker	41	40	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.07	-14	-8	-6	16.4	15.4	1.03	15.6	16.5	-0.89
Manu Ginobili	41	40	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.08	-15	-7	-8	15.8	15.9	-0.14	16.0	16.2	-0.22

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trenton Hassell	51	51	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.00	12	10	2	16.4	15.8	0.62	15.7	16.0	-0.30
Kevin Garnett	55	55	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.07	13	9	4	16.2	16.0	0.19	15.7	16.2	-0.52
Sam Cassell	41	40	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	12	-2	16.3	16.0	0.23	16.6	15.3	1.29
Michael Olowokandi	51	52	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.07	13	9	4	16.2	16.1	0.03	15.9	15.8	0.02
Latrell Sprewell	38	38	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.02	10	12	-2	15.7	16.5	-0.84	16.5	15.4	1.12
Ndudi Ebi	52	52	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.13	12	10	2	16.5	15.7	0.84	15.4	16.5	-1.12
Eddie Griffin	39	38	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.07	9	13	-4	16.1	16.2	-0.03	15.8	15.9	-0.02
Anthony Carter	49	50	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.16	12	10	2	16.0	16.3	-0.23	15.3	16.6	-1.29
John Thomas	35	35	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.08	9	13	-4	16.0	16.2	-0.19	16.2	15.7	0.52
Wally Szczerbiak	39	39	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.14	10	12	-2	15.8	16.4	-0.62	16.0	15.7	0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 91, SEA 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.7,0.81,0.74,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
TOR 63, DET 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
LAL 81, SAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%