NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	63		Excitement	3.6 [1057]		MVP	Ben Wallace (DET): +9.1%
Detroit Pistons	85		Comeback	1.1 [871]		LVP	Morris Peterson (TOR): -18.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Bradley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	7	56%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Jermaine Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	3	50%	-0.01	3	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01
Dell Curry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	12	38%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Antonio Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.01	-0.04	16	39%	-0.04	1	-0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Jerome Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	10	46%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Childs	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.16	-0.01	-0.06	5	25%	-0.02	5	-0.09	2	50%	-0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.21	-0.02	-0.04	13	8%	-0.16	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.01	0.03	11	73%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.07	13	48%	0.07	3	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	60%	0.00	1	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Rodney White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	13	56%	0.03	4	-0.05	10	100%	0.05
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	7	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	7	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	0.02	-0.04	10	25%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	522.3	2.7	30.1	19.4	29.5	3.3	27.6	634.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +39.6%

DET +7.1%

TOR -8.8%

DET +10.0%

DET +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	DET	NBA	TOR	DET	NBA
this game	16.7	15.2	15.6	70.0	93.4	102.3
season	16.2	15.7		100.3	101.9
opponent	15.8	15.6		99.8	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	19.9	15.0	18.0	14.3	16.7
DET	15.3	17.1	13.3	15.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Bradley	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-23	24	10.0	17.1	-7.14	13.7	15.3	-1.57
Dell Curry	28	30	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.12	4	-26	30	14.2	17.8	-3.61	16.4	14.5	1.89
Michael Stewart	15	15	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.08	-4	-18	14	15.7	16.9	-1.12	13.3	15.5	-2.19
Jermaine Jackson	19	20	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.34	-13	-9	-4	16.2	16.8	-0.58	12.3	16.0	-3.67
Keon Clark	48	49	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.14	-9	-13	4	16.7	16.6	0.13	15.6	14.6	1.01
Chris Childs	29	30	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.01	-8	-14	6	19.2	15.5	3.70	14.8	15.4	-0.59
Hakeem Olajuwon	40	40	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.02	-12	-10	-2	17.5	16.0	1.54	14.0	16.1	-2.08
Morris Peterson	53	52	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.27	-22	0	-22	16.2	17.3	-1.12	14.3	16.3	-1.91
Alvin Williams	67	67	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.22	-7	-15	8	16.1	18.4	-2.32	16.6	11.1	5.49
Antonio Davis	75	74	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.07	-18	-4	-14	16.9	15.4	1.52	15.9	11.9	3.96
Jerome Williams	70	71	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.18	-22	0	-22	17.6	13.3	4.33	14.9	16.0	-1.07

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Robinson	74	72	0.60	-0.10	0.69	-0.34	32	-10	42	14.6	17.5	-2.91	17.4	13.7	3.75
Jerry Stackhouse	59	58	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.31	26	-4	30	14.9	15.6	-0.61	17.5	15.2	2.25
Corliss Williamson	57	56	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.20	22	0	22	14.1	16.9	-2.79	17.1	16.0	1.07
Chucky Atkins	46	47	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.11	16	6	10	15.7	14.7	0.99	16.6	16.7	-0.06
Ben Wallace	69	70	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.12	14	8	6	15.2	15.0	0.22	17.1	15.2	1.89
Michael Curry	26	26	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.08	9	13	-4	15.9	14.9	1.01	18.2	16.0	2.20
Damon Jones	39	37	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.12	9	13	-4	14.5	15.7	-1.23	17.8	15.9	1.90
Zeljko Rebraca	30	30	0.04	0.47	-0.43	0.15	-4	26	-30	16.5	14.5	1.99	15.7	17.2	-1.50
Jon Barry	37	36	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	27	-32	16.2	14.4	1.82	14.4	18.2	-3.84
Rodney White	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	25	-28	16.0	15.1	0.89	10.0	17.1	-7.14
Victor Alexander	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	25	-28	16.0	15.1	0.89	10.0	17.1	-7.14
Dana Barros	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	25	-28	16.0	15.1	0.89	10.0	17.1	-7.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 83, NJN 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.73,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
NJN 103, CHH 119	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.69,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.84,0.82,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
SAS 73, MIN 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%