NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	103		Excitement	3.8 [1031]		MVP	David Wesley (CHH): +9.4%
Charlotte Hornets	119		Comeback	1.0 [1071]		LVP	Evan Eschmeyer (NJN): -6.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scott Burrell	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.03	5	58%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	11	71%	0.08	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kendall Gill	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	12	59%	0.02	1	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Johnny Newman	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	42%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gheorghe Muresan	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamie Feick	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	19	52%	0.05	3	-0.07	6	83%	-0.00
Jim McIlvaine	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	10	35%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.03	8	56%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	0.00	0.04	11	45%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	0.01	0.05	14	73%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	14	65%	0.11	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Eddie Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.00	-0.00	19	60%	0.12	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	5	80%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	10	65%	0.08	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	7	69%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd Fuller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	3	40%	-0.00	3	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.7	29.1	14.7	23.3	2.3	21.7	115.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +34.1%

CHH +4.8%

CHH +4.4%

CHH +2.9%

CHH +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CHH	NBA	NJN	CHH	NBA
this game	15.8	14.2	15.2	107.3	124.0	101.7
season	15.5	14.9		102.1	101.5
opponent	15.1	14.7		99.2	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.2	14.8	15.8	17.6	15.8
CHH	13.6	15.2	13.0	15.1	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jim McIlvaine	30	32	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.07	4	-20	24	15.2	16.1	-0.86	14.4	14.0	0.39
Gheorghe Muresan	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-20	24	11.7	16.1	-4.43	15.4	14.1	1.35
Kendall Gill	48	49	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.19	6	-22	28	16.0	15.7	0.31	15.7	12.6	3.18
Scott Burrell	30	30	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-14	12	14.9	16.2	-1.29	15.9	13.4	2.46
Elliot Perry	33	31	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.10	1	-17	18	15.1	16.2	-1.12	15.7	13.5	2.22
Evan Eschmeyer	27	25	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.19	1	-17	18	13.5	16.7	-3.21	13.4	14.5	-1.10
Lucious Harris	39	38	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.04	-7	-9	2	16.1	15.6	0.51	14.3	14.1	0.19
Keith Van Horn	60	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.12	-15	-1	-14	16.7	14.3	2.38	13.7	15.0	-1.34
Kerry Kittles	54	54	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	-4	-8	15.7	16.0	-0.31	13.6	14.9	-1.21
Stephon Marbury	63	65	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.07	-17	1	-18	16.2	15.1	1.12	13.5	15.7	-2.22
Jamie Feick	41	41	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.15	-21	5	-26	17.7	14.4	3.29	14.3	14.1	0.29
Johnny Newman	48	47	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.15	-22	6	-28	15.7	16.0	-0.31	12.6	15.7	-3.18

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Jones	86	85	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.15	25	-9	34	14.0	16.1	-2.15	16.2	12.6	3.60
Anthony Mason	80	78	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.12	21	-5	26	13.9	15.4	-1.51	16.6	12.4	4.23
Derrick Coleman	73	73	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.10	19	-3	22	13.5	16.4	-2.97	16.2	14.7	1.48
David Wesley	63	64	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.01	15	1	14	13.5	15.5	-2.09	15.3	16.8	-1.44
Elden Campbell	78	77	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.15	9	7	2	14.6	12.6	2.00	15.1	18.7	-3.57
Eddie Robinson	38	40	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.04	2	14	-12	14.3	14.1	0.19	16.4	15.4	0.95
Chucky Brown	16	16	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.13	-3	19	-22	16.6	13.7	2.86	13.2	16.3	-3.09
Ricky Davis	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	20	-24	15.4	14.1	1.35	11.7	16.1	-4.43
Eldridge Recasner	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	14.3	14.2	0.16	12.2	16.0	-3.73
Todd Fuller	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	14.3	14.2	0.16	12.2	16.0	-3.73
Baron Davis	33	32	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.10	-4	20	-24	15.8	13.3	2.55	17.0	15.2	1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.69,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.84,0.82,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 93, DET 102	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.4%
PHX 86, UTA 108	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
WAS 72, DAL 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.59,0.61,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%