NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	86		Excitement	3.8 [1021]		MVP	Ronnie Brewer (UTA): +11.7%
Utah Jazz	108		Comeback	1.2 [1081]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): -7.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	9	40%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	19	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
DJ Strawberry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	57%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Sean Marks	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	6	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.03	0.04	18	54%	0.02	3	-0.07	10	80%	0.01
Eric Piatkowski	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	0.00	0.03	5	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	11	37%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.02	0.04	14	68%	0.12	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	12	65%	0.10	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.02	0.05	19	55%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	46%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Morris Almond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	14	39%	-0.02	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	7	14%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	0.04	12	56%	0.02	4	-0.09	8	75%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.8	30.2	19.5	27.2	1.8	30.0	138.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +28.9%

PHX -1.0%

UTA +19.1%

UTA +3.1%

PHX -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	UTA	NBA	PHX	UTA	NBA
this game	13.7	16.7	15.4	90.5	113.7	105.7
season	13.8	15.5		111.1	111.2
opponent	15.0	15.6		105.0	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.9	11.8	15.7	13.3	13.7
UTA	16.1	18.2	15.6	16.7	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DJ Strawberry	24	24	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.12	4	-26	30	13.3	13.8	-0.48	16.7	16.6	0.06
Eric Piatkowski	35	35	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-22	22	13.5	13.7	-0.26	17.6	16.1	1.53
Sean Marks	28	27	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-20	18	13.1	13.9	-0.77	16.7	16.6	0.06
Boris Diaw	68	67	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.12	-13	-9	-4	13.3	14.6	-1.36	17.2	15.3	1.95
Brian Skinner	39	41	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.00	-9	-13	4	13.7	13.6	0.15	16.0	17.2	-1.25
Marcus Banks	76	76	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	-10	-2	13.6	13.9	-0.30	16.7	16.4	0.37
Amar'e Stoudemire	56	57	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.26	-25	3	-28	14.5	12.5	2.02	16.6	16.8	-0.25
Raja Bell	71	71	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.27	-26	4	-30	13.8	13.3	0.48	16.6	16.7	-0.06
Leandro Barbosa	78	77	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.25	-27	5	-32	13.7	13.5	0.15	16.1	19.1	-3.02

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mehmet Okur	75	75	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.08	21	1	20	16.2	18.4	-2.26	13.6	14.0	-0.44
Kyle Korver	64	63	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.22	24	-2	26	16.5	17.1	-0.64	13.4	14.2	-0.76
Ronnie Brewer	62	63	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.27	24	-2	26	16.1	17.6	-1.49	14.2	12.5	1.74
Deron Williams	71	72	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.08	17	5	12	16.5	17.2	-0.79	13.6	13.8	-0.23
Carlos Boozer	55	57	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.28	23	-1	24	16.2	17.3	-1.06	14.5	12.4	2.14
Jason Hart	43	42	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.09	8	14	-6	17.8	15.7	2.14	12.6	14.5	-1.90
Paul Millsap	40	38	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.14	-1	23	-24	17.3	16.2	1.06	12.4	14.5	-2.14
CJ Miles	31	32	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.07	-2	24	-26	17.1	16.5	0.64	14.2	13.4	0.76
Morris Almond	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	27	-32	16.4	16.7	-0.36	14.5	13.5	1.03
Jarron Collins	20	20	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.07	1	21	-20	18.4	16.2	2.26	14.0	13.6	0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 72, DAL 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.59,0.61,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
NJN 103, CHH 119	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.69,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.84,0.82,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
DET 78, MIA 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%