NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	93		Excitement	3.8 [1074]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +12.1%
Detroit Pistons	102		Comeback	1.1 [1192]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): -14.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.02	-0.02	28	56%	0.16	3	-0.03	14	86%	0.02
Chris Mihm	0.02	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.05	12	53%	0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Devin Green	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	9	43%	-0.05	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Smush Parker	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	12	35%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.20	-0.02	-0.08	10	36%	-0.00	8	-0.14	5	20%	-0.03

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	14	59%	0.12	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.01	0.05	21	51%	0.04	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	3	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.07	23	42%	0.03	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.02	8	52%	0.01	0	0.00	11	55%	-0.06
Carlos Arroyo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.13	-0.00	-0.07	10	40%	-0.01	6	-0.05	5	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	3.5	33.5	17.6	26.2	3.4	36.6	149.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +25.3%

LAL -4.0%

DET +11.8%

DET +16.2%

DET +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DET	NBA	LAL	DET	NBA
this game	13.6	16.5	15.6	97.9	106.2	104.4
season	15.6	16.9		106.2	108.3
opponent	15.8	15.5		101.4	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.2	12.7	14.2	12.3	13.6
DET	15.4	16.8	15.8	18.2	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Green	4	3	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.09	3	-12	15	13.7	13.6	0.15	27.0	16.2	10.81
Sasha Vujacic	45	46	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.32	9	-18	27	12.7	14.4	-1.67	17.5	15.6	1.86
Brian Cook	42	42	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.26	4	-13	17	13.3	13.9	-0.62	15.3	17.5	-2.26
Devean George	22	23	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.14	-10	1	-11	14.2	13.4	0.80	16.6	16.5	0.04
Kwame Brown	40	40	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-4	-1	13.4	13.8	-0.41	17.6	15.8	1.83
Luke Walton	26	25	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.19	0	-9	9	13.1	13.8	-0.73	17.1	16.3	0.80
Lamar Odom	73	76	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.11	-9	0	-9	13.4	14.2	-0.80	16.4	16.9	-0.53
Smush Parker	74	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.17	-10	1	-11	13.7	13.3	0.42	15.9	19.0	-3.08
Chris Mihm	65	65	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.02	-17	8	-25	14.2	12.3	1.92	16.2	17.3	-1.17
Kobe Bryant	84	83	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.20	-10	1	-11	14.0	10.8	3.16	16.5	16.6	-0.10

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	82	82	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.27	8	1	7	16.7	15.5	1.21	13.7	12.8	0.89
Tayshaun Prince	73	72	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.07	13	-4	17	16.5	16.5	0.07	14.0	12.3	1.72
Chauncey Billups	87	86	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.23	7	2	5	16.6	16.0	0.59	13.5	14.7	-1.17
Richard Hamilton	78	78	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.17	8	1	7	16.3	17.6	-1.33	13.7	13.4	0.31
Ben Wallace	77	75	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.03	12	-3	15	16.4	17.1	-0.72	13.7	13.2	0.52
Carlos Delfino	7	8	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.00	5	4	1	14.1	16.7	-2.58	13.1	13.7	-0.53
Antonio McDyess	33	33	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.17	-2	11	-13	16.4	16.6	-0.16	13.1	13.9	-0.84
Carlos Arroyo	9	9	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	7	-5	16.0	16.6	-0.59	14.7	13.5	1.17
Maurice Evans	34	32	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.24	-8	17	-25	17.6	16.0	1.59	12.7	14.1	-1.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 103, CHH 119	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.69,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.84,0.82,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
PHX 98, SAC 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,0.95,1,1,1,1	96.1%
LAC 77, GSW 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%