inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 69 Excitement3.6 [1067] MVPJonathan Bender (IND): +6.8%
Indiana Pacers 90 Comeback1.0 [1253] LVPRasual Butler (MIA): -14.1%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike James0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.11-0.000.061176%0.061-0.023100%0.00
Sean Lampley0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ken Johnson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brian Grant-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.02-0.00871%0.073-0.075100%0.03
LaPhonso Ellis-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.000.00540%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Anthony Carter-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.01533%-0.031-0.012100%0.01
Malik Allen-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.02520%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Vladimir Stepania-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.02-0.03743%0.023-0.0800%0.00
Travis Best-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.11-0.00-0.05911%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Eddie House-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.11-0.02-0.03520%-0.043-0.0600%0.00
Caron Butler-0.130,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.17-0.01-0.051319%-0.112-0.0210%-0.02
Rasual Butler-0.140,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.13-0.010.001223%-0.121-0.02250%-0.01

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jonathan Bender0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.010.011168%0.0710.0000%0.00
Reggie Miller0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.000.03769%0.0400.002100%0.01
Jamaal Tinsley0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.02-0.00-0.04944%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Tim Hardaway0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.040.00-0.05642%0.032-0.0200%0.00
Metta World Peace0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.02-0.011148%0.021-0.02560%-0.01
Austin Croshere0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.00545%0.0000.0010%0.00
Jeff Foster0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.060.00-0.0540%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Erick Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.00-0.04420%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Jermaine O'Neal0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.01-0.001243%-0.0200.004100%0.02
Al Harrington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.02944%-0.022-0.0100%0.00
Brad Miller0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.020.02565%0.013-0.097100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.21.525.215.424.22.420.6115.6
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +32.8%
IND +5.4%
MIA -4.1%
IND +17.4%
MIA -1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAINDNBAMIAINDNBA
this game15.315.515.574.295.7101.6
season16.315.494.6102.2
opponent15.515.999.2100.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA12.216.316.417.115.3
IND13.117.214.918.015.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ken Johnson11120.00-0.500.50-0.155-263116.315.11.1417.215.31.97
Sean Lampley1819-0.00-0.500.50-0.186-273316.714.91.8016.915.21.77
Mike James3839-0.06-0.440.37-0.184-252917.114.03.0216.714.72.03
Malik Allen3333-0.07-0.430.360.05-4-171313.416.3-2.9114.915.9-1.01
LaPhonso Ellis3636-0.08-0.420.34-0.142-232515.015.4-0.4417.314.42.92
Rasual Butler4647-0.13-0.370.23-0.02-4-171314.316.3-1.9915.016.0-0.98
Travis Best4850-0.23-0.270.030.06-10-11115.515.10.3916.414.61.81
Anthony Carter4544-0.27-0.23-0.030.06-11-10-115.115.5-0.3914.616.4-1.81
Eddie House2625-0.36-0.14-0.230.25-210-2115.515.20.3214.316.0-1.71
Brian Grant5656-0.38-0.12-0.250.24-210-2115.115.5-0.3214.816.6-1.76
Vladimir Stepania4243-0.41-0.09-0.320.26-232-2515.515.10.4615.715.40.39
Caron Butler6666-0.510.01-0.520.31-287-3515.315.10.1714.717.4-2.65

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamaal Tinsley64640.490.010.47-0.3127-63315.116.5-1.4215.814.11.64
Al Harrington50490.450.050.40-0.2825-42915.815.30.4914.815.8-0.96
Metta World Peace47480.410.090.33-0.111831514.916.2-1.3215.215.3-0.04
Brad Miller52510.400.100.31-0.2723-22515.116.1-1.0614.815.9-1.07
Reggie Miller44460.280.220.07-0.10138514.616.4-1.8115.415.10.33
Jermaine O'Neal45460.220.28-0.06-0.04912-314.316.7-2.3414.715.9-1.22
Jonathan Bender56550.180.32-0.140.00615-916.014.81.1616.114.12.01
Erick Strickland45420.080.42-0.34-0.01318-1516.814.42.3915.015.5-0.45
Tim Hardaway30290.010.49-0.470.19-627-3316.515.11.4214.115.8-1.64
Austin Croshere19180.000.50-0.500.18-627-3316.915.21.7716.714.91.80
Jeff Foster1817-0.040.54-0.580.17-728-3517.315.12.2315.715.20.53


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.83,0.86,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 72, NJN 890.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,196.1%
TOR 97, CLE 1200.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%
DET 93, TOR 1030.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,195.5%