NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	88		Excitement	4.0 [982]		MVP	Dean Garrett (MIN): +6.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	105		Comeback	1.0 [1204]		LVP	Juwan Howard (WAS): -22.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	20	54%	0.08	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Chris Whitney	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	6	42%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerard King	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Michael Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Obinna Ekezie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Laron Profit	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	69%	0.05	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Tyrone Nesby	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	0.05	7	62%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Felipe Lopez	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	16	35%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Juwan Howard	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.18	-0.05	-0.01	10	27%	-0.10	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dean Garrett	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	7	57%	0.03	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd Day	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	14	69%	0.11	5	-0.11	7	86%	0.03
William Avery	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Hammonds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	12	60%	0.03	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	0.04	22	55%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	12	36%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	26.9	0.2	42.9	1.7	21.3	117.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +20.2%

MIN +4.2%

MIN +13.0%

MIN +11.3%

MIN +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MIN	NBA	WAS	MIN	NBA
this game	15.5	14.1	15.5	90.7	107.1	100.9
season	15.2	15.0		98.6	102.9
opponent	15.9	15.2		101.7	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.7	15.9	15.2	14.1	15.5
MIN	11.7	14.7	13.6	16.5	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerard King	25	26	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.08	5	-22	27	14.8	15.7	-0.88	15.0	13.7	1.29
Michael Smith	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-16	15	12.5	15.6	-3.12	13.8	14.1	-0.26
Obinna Ekezie	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-18	19	12.5	15.6	-3.06	15.5	14.0	1.48
Laron Profit	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-16	15	12.5	15.6	-3.12	13.8	14.1	-0.26
Calvin Booth	38	39	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.02	-1	-16	15	15.4	15.5	-0.12	15.3	13.3	2.00
Chris Whitney	37	38	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.01	-7	-10	3	15.4	15.5	-0.10	14.0	14.1	-0.13
Richard Hamilton	70	70	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-12	7	15.3	16.1	-0.80	14.5	13.0	1.42
Felipe Lopez	64	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.07	-8	-9	1	15.9	14.6	1.30	13.7	14.8	-1.09
Rod Strickland	60	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-7	-3	15.5	15.4	0.10	14.1	14.0	0.13
Jahidi White	57	57	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.04	-17	0	-17	15.6	15.3	0.37	13.2	15.3	-2.09
Tyrone Nesby	56	57	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.11	-20	3	-23	15.5	15.5	-0.03	14.0	14.1	-0.12
Juwan Howard	68	67	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	0.05	-21	4	-25	15.9	14.5	1.39	13.7	14.8	-1.10

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wally Szczerbiak	75	75	0.58	-0.08	0.65	-0.16	25	-8	33	13.1	17.2	-4.08	15.3	16.1	-0.83
Terrell Brandon	72	70	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.10	19	-2	21	13.5	15.7	-2.18	15.3	16.1	-0.80
Kevin Garnett	74	73	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.05	14	3	11	14.1	14.0	0.07	15.5	15.5	-0.06
Chauncey Billups	82	81	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.04	8	9	-1	14.6	11.4	3.12	15.7	14.4	1.34
Dean Garrett	51	51	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.13	5	12	-7	14.0	14.1	-0.15	15.6	15.4	0.24
Anthony Peeler	38	39	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.00	9	8	1	13.9	14.1	-0.26	15.7	15.3	0.42
Rasho Nesterovic	30	29	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.06	9	8	1	13.5	14.3	-0.79	16.1	15.2	0.82
LaPhonso Ellis	37	37	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.10	9	8	1	14.8	13.6	1.13	15.4	15.6	-0.19
Sam Mitchell	12	11	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.05	0	17	-17	16.3	13.7	2.60	13.5	15.7	-2.20
William Avery	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	18	-19	15.5	14.0	1.48	12.5	15.6	-3.06
Tom Hammonds	4	4	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	20	-23	12.2	14.1	-1.88	11.2	15.7	-4.43
Todd Day	13	13	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.14	-9	26	-35	17.7	13.5	4.20	17.8	15.1	2.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 97, CHH 115	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
LAC 95, PHX 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.5%
ATL 88, POR 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.98,1,1	95.5%