NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	88		Excitement	4.5 [890]		MVP	Greg Anthony (POR): +19.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	97		Comeback	1.1 [1251]		LVP	Jim Jackson (ATL): -13.3%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09	0.06	0.00	-0.02	9	81%	0.10	3	-0.02	8	87%	0.04
Chris Crawford	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hanno Mottola	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DerMarr Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	10	59%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Larry Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	19	43%	-0.02	4	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Alan Henderson	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	10	39%	-0.08	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Roshown McLeod	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.02	13	19%	-0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	14	42%	-0.04	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.16	0.01	-0.03	10	85%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	13	57%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	10	60%	0.06	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	56%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	16	61%	0.09	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Antonio Harvey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	6	33%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13	-0.13	-0.16	-0.02	-0.04	11	42%	-0.00	6	-0.13	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	27.2	15.5	26.6	2.6	36.0	133.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +60.6%

ATL -3.4%

ATL -2.9%

ATL -2.5%

ATL -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	POR	NBA	ATL	POR	NBA
this game	15.1	14.9	15.5	91.7	101.0	100.9
season	15.4	15.8		96.0	103.9
opponent	15.8	15.1		100.3	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.2	18.0	14.9	12.8	15.1
POR	13.6	16.2	13.3	16.5	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hanno Mottola	4	5	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.11	4	-13	17	9.7	15.4	-5.62	17.6	14.7	2.89
Larry Robinson	26	26	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-10	11	15.4	15.0	0.39	14.5	15.0	-0.45
Matt Maloney	24	24	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-7	5	15.1	15.1	-0.01	14.6	14.9	-0.32
Chris Crawford	33	31	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.13	-1	-8	7	16.3	14.5	1.83	16.4	14.1	2.25
DerMarr Johnson	40	39	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-4	-1	16.5	14.2	2.34	15.9	14.1	1.83
Roshown McLeod	56	57	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-5	1	14.2	16.5	-2.34	14.1	15.9	-1.83
Jason Terry	72	72	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.14	-7	-2	-5	15.1	15.1	0.01	14.9	14.6	0.32
Lorenzen Wright	81	82	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.19	-8	-1	-7	15.2	15.0	0.16	15.0	13.9	1.18
Alan Henderson	72	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.08	-12	3	-15	15.1	15.4	-0.32	14.3	16.4	-2.02
Jim Jackson	72	73	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.15	-11	2	-13	14.8	16.0	-1.21	14.5	16.1	-1.66

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	75	76	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.10	14	-5	19	14.7	15.4	-0.72	16.0	11.8	4.21
Steven Smith	71	71	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.00	16	-7	23	13.7	18.2	-4.56	14.7	16.4	-1.76
Dale Davis	71	71	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.11	12	-3	15	14.7	15.2	-0.45	14.7	16.3	-1.60
Scottie Pippen	62	61	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.03	13	-4	17	13.6	17.1	-3.44	14.4	16.5	-2.13
Damon Stoudamire	66	65	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.15	5	4	1	13.9	17.0	-3.06	14.0	17.5	-3.47
Greg Anthony	30	31	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	5	-1	17.0	13.9	3.06	17.5	14.0	3.47
Stacey Augmon	37	37	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.18	-3	12	-15	15.9	14.2	1.67	16.0	14.6	1.45
Bonzi Wells	25	25	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.24	-7	16	-23	18.2	13.7	4.56	16.4	14.7	1.76
Shawn Kemp	42	43	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.28	-9	18	-27	16.6	13.5	3.03	14.6	15.6	-0.96
Antonio Harvey	1	0	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	9	-9	1.0	15.0	-14.01	0.0	15.1	-15.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 94, CHA 126	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.77,0.73,0.77,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.57,0.73,0.73,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
HOU 83, ORL 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
CLE 76, POR 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%