NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	76		Excitement	4.1 [997]		MVP	Daniel Gibson (CLE): +10.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	94		Comeback	1.0 [581]		LVP	Zach Randolph (POR): -20.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Gibson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.01	-0.02	7	67%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	3	78%	0.01	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
David Wesley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	40%	0.00	1	0.00	3	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Damon Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Snow	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	12	45%	0.00	4	-0.06	14	79%	-0.01
Drew Gooden	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.01	7	32%	-0.07	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00
LeBron James	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.02	0.02	21	42%	-0.10	4	-0.06	13	46%	-0.07

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	9	67%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.01	-0.04	5	90%	0.09	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	6	56%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Ime Udoka	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	0.00	0.06	8	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.01	16	56%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	4	0%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.12	-0.01	0.07	25	43%	-0.10	6	-0.10	10	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	33.5	15.0	26.7	2.0	31.0	133.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +30.4%

POR +0.1%

POR +11.5%

POR +5.2%

POR +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	POR	NBA	CLE	POR	NBA
this game	15.6	17.1	15.4	86.4	106.8	104.5
season	16.0	16.7		103.2	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.6		108.3	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	18.4	14.5	16.0	14.2	15.6
POR	19.5	16.2	16.7	16.4	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wesley	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-25	32	9.2	16.3	-7.03	17.5	17.0	0.45
Scot Pollard	11	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-20	22	12.2	16.1	-3.95	16.9	17.1	-0.21
Daniel Gibson	62	62	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.05	1	-19	20	15.2	16.6	-1.39	16.0	19.7	-3.75
Donyell Marshall	10	9	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-16	14	19.7	15.1	4.58	16.0	17.2	-1.22
Damon Jones	21	19	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-16	14	18.0	14.9	3.10	15.8	17.4	-1.59
Sasha Pavlovic	24	27	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.17	1	-19	20	15.2	15.8	-0.53	16.2	17.5	-1.25
Anderson Varejao	59	60	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-14	10	15.7	15.6	0.07	15.8	19.9	-4.06
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	50	49	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.11	-15	-3	-12	15.2	16.2	-0.96	18.3	15.5	2.79
Larry Hughes	59	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.19	-18	0	-18	15.8	15.4	0.38	17.8	15.7	2.16
LeBron James	64	64	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.25	-24	6	-30	15.7	15.5	0.19	17.1	17.0	0.07
Drew Gooden	46	47	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.05	-17	-1	-16	16.0	15.2	0.76	17.7	16.4	1.31
Eric Snow	26	26	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.07	-19	1	-20	16.6	15.2	1.39	19.7	16.0	3.75

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Roy	56	56	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.29	29	-11	40	17.6	16.2	1.47	16.4	14.3	2.13
Zach Randolph	69	69	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.26	27	-9	36	17.3	16.4	0.85	15.9	14.7	1.21
Ime Udoka	64	64	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.30	27	-9	36	17.1	17.0	0.07	15.7	15.5	0.19
Dan Dickau	26	27	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.02	15	3	12	20.3	15.7	4.62	17.2	14.9	2.29
Joel Przybilla	28	28	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.02	14	4	10	19.2	16.1	3.11	15.5	15.7	-0.25
LaMarcus Aldridge	44	44	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.12	-2	20	-22	15.7	18.5	-2.73	15.5	15.8	-0.32
Sergio Rodriguez	45	44	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	20	-22	15.6	18.7	-3.10	15.2	16.1	-0.91
Jamaal Magloire	35	35	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.11	-3	21	-24	16.7	17.3	-0.58	15.5	15.8	-0.30
Juan Dixon	46	46	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.13	-4	22	-26	16.4	17.9	-1.51	15.1	16.2	-1.15
Martell Webster	27	27	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.24	-11	29	-40	16.6	17.3	-0.77	14.0	16.4	-2.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 80, PHI 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.72,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.59,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.93,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
NOH 80, LAC 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.58,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
HOU 83, ORL 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%