NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	79		Excitement	4.3 [953]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +12.5%
New Jersey Nets	95		Comeback	1.4 [755]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): -16.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.16	0.00	0.04	12	87%	0.16	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Kevin Ollie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.01	6	57%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	4	87%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamison Brewer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	17%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	8	56%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Austin Croshere	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	7	31%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.19	-0.02	-0.07	11	17%	-0.07	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.15	-0.03	-0.02	11	40%	-0.07	4	-0.10	8	75%	0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	4	62%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.04	13	56%	0.09	2	-0.06	10	80%	0.03
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	4	80%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	75%	0.07	3	-0.07	6	83%	-0.00
Donny Marshall	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	37%	-0.00	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	16	51%	0.02	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.01
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.03	0.03	16	49%	-0.04	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	481.2	3.5	36.3	19.6	25.4	3.4	28.8	598.2
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +12.0%

NJN +1.7%

NJN +16.2%

NJN +18.8%

NJN +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NJN	NBA	IND	NJN	NBA
this game	16.5	14.3	15.6	85.9	100.0	102.3
season	15.3	14.7		101.6	101.4
opponent	16.0	15.4		98.0	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.2	19.0	16.8	15.2	16.5
NJN	14.2	13.8	13.2	16.0	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamison Brewer	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	12.1	16.9	-4.80	14.4	14.3	0.05
Jeff Foster	19	20	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.02	-1	-15	14	14.7	17.0	-2.24	15.9	13.9	2.06
Jonathan Bender	30	29	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	-12	8	15.8	16.9	-1.10	15.1	14.0	1.12
Jamaal Tinsley	29	32	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-11	6	16.4	16.6	-0.14	14.6	14.2	0.40
Austin Croshere	21	21	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.06	-5	-11	6	15.7	16.7	-1.03	14.2	14.4	-0.17
Ron Mercer	27	27	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.03	-8	-8	0	16.8	16.4	0.38	13.2	14.8	-1.59
Metta World Peace	56	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.10	-6	-10	4	16.7	16.2	0.43	14.5	14.0	0.47
Brad Miller	69	71	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.12	-16	0	-16	16.7	15.8	0.91	14.6	13.5	1.11
Kevin Ollie	55	55	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	-3	-10	17.2	15.5	1.71	14.2	14.5	-0.39
Jermaine O'Neal	71	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.12	-10	-6	-4	17.0	14.7	2.33	13.6	16.8	-3.13
Reggie Miller	75	78	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.04	-14	-2	-12	16.5	16.4	0.19	14.3	14.4	-0.03

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kerry Kittles	57	54	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.01	18	-2	20	13.2	16.1	-2.92	16.8	16.1	0.69
Keith Van Horn	67	65	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.07	20	-4	24	14.1	14.7	-0.60	16.7	16.0	0.78
Jason Kidd	72	70	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.02	15	1	14	14.2	14.8	-0.66	16.1	17.9	-1.84
Todd MacCulloch	39	38	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.06	13	3	10	12.5	15.6	-3.08	17.2	16.0	1.15
Richard Jefferson	44	42	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.11	5	11	-6	13.8	14.7	-0.90	16.9	16.2	0.72
Aaron Williams	45	43	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.09	3	13	-10	15.5	13.3	2.25	16.8	16.2	0.61
Kenyon Martin	60	61	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.05	6	10	-4	15.3	12.7	2.55	15.8	17.9	-2.15
Anthony Johnson	23	22	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	15	-14	14.8	14.2	0.66	17.9	16.1	1.84
Lucious Harris	39	37	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.02	1	15	-14	15.8	13.3	2.58	17.0	16.2	0.86
Jason Collins	19	19	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	16	-16	14.7	14.2	0.45	15.7	16.7	-0.98
Donny Marshall	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	17	-18	13.8	14.4	-0.56	10.7	16.8	-6.02
Brian Scalabrine	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	17	-18	13.8	14.4	-0.56	11.8	16.8	-4.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.78,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 92, ORL 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.99,1	95.4%
ORL 87, DET 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
IND 87, ORL 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%