NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	87		Excitement	4.5 [923]		MVP	Kyle Singler (DET): +9.7%
Detroit Pistons	103		Comeback	1.3 [1024]		LVP	Tobias Harris (ORL): -15.8%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
E'Twaun Moore	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	12	54%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Glen Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doron Lamb	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	9	52%	0.06	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Maurice Harkless	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	0%	-0.10
Andrew Nicholson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	0.04	14	61%	0.02	6	-0.10	3	100%	0.00
Tobias Harris	-0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.04	0.03	13	41%	-0.07	3	-0.09	8	75%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.01	7	67%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Andre Drummond	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	7	72%	0.06	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	12	64%	0.09	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	9	54%	0.07	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Tony Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Gigi Datome	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	3	12%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	7	50%	0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Harrellson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	4	37%	-0.02	3	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	11	36%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	0.07	19	44%	-0.10	2	-0.02	7	57%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.7	27.5	16.4	24.1	2.8	28.0	125.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +13.2%

DET +2.7%

DET +17.0%

DET +14.3%

DET +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	DET	NBA	ORL	DET	NBA
this game	15.4	14.3	15.1	89.7	106.2	105.2
season	15.3	15.0		100.4	104.7
opponent	15.0	15.0		108.4	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.7	16.7	15.2	14.0	15.4
DET	14.9	13.9	14.2	14.2	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doron Lamb	11	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-25	34	14.0	15.6	-1.56	16.4	14.0	2.32
Andrew Nicholson	32	32	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-17	18	16.2	15.0	1.16	15.1	13.9	1.22
Maurice Harkless	41	41	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.05	-2	-14	12	15.6	15.2	0.31	14.7	14.1	0.60
Jason Maxiell	28	28	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.03	-6	-10	4	15.7	15.2	0.47	15.1	14.0	1.17
Kyle O'Quinn	55	55	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-12	8	15.3	15.4	-0.08	14.2	14.5	-0.34
Glen Davis	45	45	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.03	-7	-9	2	15.4	15.4	-0.01	14.4	14.2	0.21
Jameer Nelson	51	51	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-8	0	15.4	15.3	0.11	14.3	14.3	-0.07
Victor Oladipo	53	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.00	-10	-6	-4	14.6	16.3	-1.63	14.3	14.3	-0.02
E'Twaun Moore	45	46	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.29	-21	5	-26	16.4	14.5	1.86	13.3	15.2	-1.95
Arron Afflalo	59	58	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.00	-15	-1	-14	15.3	15.6	-0.32	14.2	14.5	-0.34
Tobias Harris	65	65	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.06	-17	1	-18	15.0	16.2	-1.16	13.9	15.1	-1.22

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Stuckey	61	61	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.00	16	0	16	14.0	14.9	-0.92	14.8	16.4	-1.56
Josh Smith	58	60	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.04	17	-1	18	14.2	14.5	-0.34	15.4	15.4	0.05
Brandon Jennings	66	67	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.21	22	-6	28	13.8	15.3	-1.49	15.8	14.5	1.32
Kyle Singler	44	46	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.22	20	-4	24	13.6	14.9	-1.36	16.4	14.5	1.92
Andre Drummond	66	65	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.29	19	-3	22	14.0	15.0	-1.06	16.0	14.2	1.74
Will Bynum	31	31	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.03	5	11	-6	14.6	14.2	0.40	16.0	15.1	0.96
Greg Monroe	50	50	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.10	2	14	-12	14.7	13.9	0.89	14.9	15.9	-0.95
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	38	38	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	12	-8	14.8	14.0	0.75	14.8	15.7	-0.93
Josh Harrellson	39	37	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	17	-18	14.5	14.2	0.34	15.4	15.4	-0.05
Tony Mitchell	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	25	-34	16.4	14.0	2.32	14.0	15.6	-1.56
Gigi Datome	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	23	-30	15.7	14.2	1.50	12.7	15.6	-2.87
Jonas Jerebko	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	24	-32	16.4	14.0	2.40	14.0	15.6	-1.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 92, ORL 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.99,1	96.3%
CHI 91, DET 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
IND 87, ORL 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%