NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	87		Excitement	4.6 [868]		MVP	Horace Grant (ORL): +8.9%
Orlando Magic	111		Comeback	1.4 [856]		LVP	Rik Smits (IND): -10.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Davis	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.03	0.04	-0.07	11	64%	0.13	5	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	7	57%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	2	117%	0.04	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	17	47%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jerome Allen	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	5	56%	-0.03	2	-0.03	8	75%	-0.03
Duane Ferrell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Jalen Rose	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	6	33%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	6	43%	-0.02	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
Travis Best	-0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.03	0.02	9	33%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	12	42%	-0.03	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Horace Grant	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	12	67%	0.10	1	-0.01	3	67%	0.01
Rony Seikaly	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.02	-0.03	10	76%	0.12	4	-0.05	9	67%	-0.03
Nick Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	10	55%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	12	46%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	13	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dan Schayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	2	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	150%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Strong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	0.00	12	53%	0.03	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	-0.05	3	37%	0.00	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.4	27.8	15.0	22.3	2.6	27.2	122.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +34.3%

ORL +8.9%

IND -3.4%

ORL +5.5%

ORL +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ORL	NBA	IND	ORL	NBA
this game	15.2	15.8	15.6	93.5	119.4	104.4
season	15.3	16.4		103.6	102.9
opponent	15.5	16.3		103.5	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.4	16.5	16.1	13.9	15.2
ORL	15.7	15.5	15.9	16.1	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	30	32	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.11	-1	-23	22	10.9	17.2	-6.26	14.8	16.3	-1.50
Jerome Allen	16	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-20	16	11.4	16.0	-4.59	16.6	15.6	1.00
Duane Ferrell	40	40	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.10	-4	-20	16	12.8	17.0	-4.21	15.2	16.2	-0.96
Jalen Rose	23	22	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.04	-4	-20	16	14.5	15.4	-0.86	14.8	16.1	-1.28
Fred Hoiberg	32	31	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.11	-7	-17	10	12.5	16.6	-4.07	15.4	16.0	-0.61
Dale Davis	37	36	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	-12	0	18.1	13.2	4.92	18.3	14.2	4.05
Rik Smits	48	47	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	-9	-6	16.2	14.1	2.10	15.9	15.7	0.20
Antonio Davis	71	71	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.20	-20	-4	-16	14.7	16.6	-1.86	14.9	18.6	-3.72
Reggie Miller	63	64	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.08	-17	-7	-10	16.1	13.3	2.76	15.5	16.4	-0.85
Travis Best	54	55	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.05	-16	-8	-8	16.6	13.2	3.34	15.9	15.6	0.37
Derrick McKey	51	51	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.09	-20	-4	-16	17.6	12.2	5.44	16.8	14.6	2.23

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Anderson	56	55	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.19	24	0	24	17.3	13.5	3.79	16.7	12.9	3.81
Horace Grant	56	55	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.14	22	2	20	16.8	14.3	2.49	16.5	13.3	3.14
Anfernee Hardaway	65	66	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.01	17	7	10	16.2	14.7	1.50	16.1	12.9	3.27
Rony Seikaly	64	65	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.11	17	7	10	15.6	16.2	-0.60	15.4	14.7	0.71
Brian Shaw	40	41	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.14	13	11	2	16.5	15.3	1.19	16.0	14.5	1.48
Dennis Scott	47	48	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	19	-14	15.9	15.7	0.20	15.1	15.3	-0.18
Derek Strong	50	51	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.21	10	14	-4	15.8	15.8	-0.08	14.3	16.3	-1.99
Gerald Wilkins	53	53	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.14	7	17	-10	14.7	17.3	-2.60	13.8	17.0	-3.30
Dan Schayes	10	10	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	24	-24	14.2	16.0	-1.79	14.9	15.2	-0.30
Darrell Armstrong	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	21	-18	11.0	16.3	-5.31	8.7	15.8	-7.03
David Vaughn	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	25	-26	11.5	16.1	-4.59	8.0	15.6	-7.58
Brian Evans	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	21	-18	11.0	16.3	-5.31	8.7	15.8	-7.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 87, DET 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
GSW 92, ORL 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.99,1	95.6%
PHX 77, LAL 105	0.5,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%