inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 92 Excitement4.3 [967] MVPDerek Fisher (GSW): +10.4%
Orlando Magic 103 Comeback1.1 [1148] LVPJason Richardson (GSW): -9.7%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derek Fisher0.100,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.070.02-0.011465%0.142-0.033100%0.01
Andris Biedrins0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.01-0.01475%0.0600.0000%0.00
Troy Murphy0.050,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.06-0.000.011164%0.081-0.0300%0.00
Calbert Cheaney0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.030.040.000.01580%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Zarko Cabarkapa-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.00-0.000.02375%0.022-0.042100%0.00
Adonal Foyle-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.01333%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Baron Davis-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.02-0.020.041365%0.074-0.1000%0.00
Monta Ellis-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01333%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Ike Diogu-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.07-0.00-0.0230%-0.051-0.0100%0.00
Mike Dunleavy-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.020.00643%-0.002-0.072100%0.01
Jason Richardson-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1-0.08-0.02-0.011437%-0.052-0.04250%-0.01

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.090.090.080.020.011370%0.143-0.054100%0.01
Keyon Dooling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.010.01959%0.0500.00475%-0.00
Tony Battie0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.01575%0.062-0.03250%-0.01
Stacey Augmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.011100%0.031-0.002100%0.01
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.00-0.02950%0.031-0.00667%0.01
Dwight Howard0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.01-0.01567%0.083-0.05540%-0.02
Bo Outlaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.00-0.003100%0.062-0.0400%0.00
Carlos Arroyo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.02-0.00-0.03947%0.021-0.011100%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01756%0.032-0.04250%-0.01
Darko Milicic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.02956%0.063-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.01.728.016.625.42.537.2136.3
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +21.7%
ORL +5.7%
ORL +16.3%
ORL +5.8%
ORL +0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWORLNBAGSWORLNBA
this game15.215.915.6100.0110.8104.4
season14.816.4102.9104.4
opponent15.715.5105.9104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW17.715.516.011.815.2
ORL14.313.317.518.715.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Zarko Cabarkapa1717-0.10-0.400.31-0.04-2-9712.815.8-3.0520.414.95.47
Ike Diogu2729-0.11-0.390.28-0.08-1-10914.915.4-0.5616.515.60.92
Andris Biedrins4745-0.14-0.360.23-0.223-141714.016.6-2.5616.914.91.95
Calbert Cheaney4040-0.15-0.350.20-0.181-121313.216.8-3.6717.514.72.84
Monta Ellis3031-0.19-0.310.110.01-7-4-314.715.5-0.8217.215.21.92
Jason Richardson6061-0.22-0.280.07-0.13-3-8515.614.61.0115.317.0-1.70
Derek Fisher6061-0.25-0.250.01-0.22-1-10915.814.21.5315.516.6-1.13
Mike Dunleavy4545-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.00-10-1-916.913.73.1614.117.6-3.52
Adonal Foyle3233-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.00-110-1117.913.84.1213.617.1-3.48
Troy Murphy4950-0.33-0.17-0.150.08-143-1717.113.14.0514.317.8-3.51
Baron Davis5353-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.11-10-1-913.517.6-4.1516.914.62.29

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwight Howard64630.480.020.450.2192715.716.3-0.6715.415.00.37
Hedo Turkoglu72700.380.120.250.1483515.317.9-2.6115.713.81.94
Tony Battie48460.370.130.240.08101914.817.0-2.1716.713.82.80
DeShawn Stevenson54530.330.170.16-0.0212-11314.118.4-4.3116.014.21.77
Carlos Arroyo35350.260.240.010.0574316.715.41.3314.715.6-0.86
Jameer Nelson58570.240.26-0.010.1347-315.416.7-1.3315.614.70.86
Keyon Dooling46460.200.30-0.100.1429-717.414.43.0313.517.0-3.50
Stacey Augmon21220.120.38-0.250.0438-517.915.32.6113.815.7-1.94
Darko Milicic40400.100.40-0.290.16-213-1517.814.43.3714.615.8-1.19
Bo Outlaw27280.020.48-0.46-0.0429-716.415.70.7415.115.3-0.21


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 87, DET 1030.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
CHA 89, MIN 1020.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%
BOS 89, LAL 1020.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,195.7%