NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	89		Excitement	4.3 [966]		MVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): +10.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	102		Comeback	1.1 [1122]		LVP	Primoz Brezec (CHA): -10.5%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raymond Felton	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.01	-0.03	8	62%	0.14	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Brevin Knight	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	56%	0.05	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Jumaine Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bernard Robinson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.10	5	71%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Sean May	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	8	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	0.05	9	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Kareem Rush	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	12	46%	0.00	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Primoz Brezec	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	5	8%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.05	0.02	3	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	8	68%	0.06	3	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	1	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	12	50%	0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	61%	0.05	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Ronald Dupree	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Richie Frahm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	4	44%	-0.00	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.06	14	60%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	16	51%	0.08	4	-0.09	5	60%	-0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	62%	0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.7	29.7	16.0	31.1	1.7	30.0	133.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +32.1%

CHA -4.3%

MIN +15.0%

MIN +2.1%

MIN +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	MIN	NBA	CHA	MIN	NBA
this game	14.4	16.8	15.6	95.7	110.9	104.4
season	14.8	16.1		100.5	101.0
opponent	15.9	15.4		103.1	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.0	14.7	15.2	12.5	14.4
MIN	17.7	17.3	15.4	16.8	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Anderson	13	12	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.13	4	-17	21	12.6	14.6	-2.03	17.0	16.7	0.25
Jake Voskuhl	28	28	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-13	13	14.5	14.3	0.14	17.0	16.7	0.26
Matt Carroll	36	35	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.10	0	-13	13	14.7	14.1	0.63	15.9	17.4	-1.49
Bernard Robinson	27	28	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-9	5	12.2	15.2	-3.02	16.3	17.0	-0.66
Keith Bogans	28	29	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.02	-5	-8	3	15.1	14.1	1.01	18.3	16.1	2.23
Primoz Brezec	31	28	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.00	-6	-7	1	16.2	13.5	2.74	16.5	16.9	-0.46
Sean May	48	49	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.38	7	-20	27	12.1	16.7	-4.59	17.1	16.4	0.68
Raymond Felton	52	51	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-9	5	13.6	15.4	-1.83	16.3	17.4	-1.05
Jumaine Jones	47	47	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	-3	-7	13.8	15.0	-1.21	16.3	17.3	-0.95
Emeka Okafor	49	48	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.22	-18	5	-23	16.7	11.8	4.83	17.2	16.3	0.89
Brevin Knight	45	45	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.05	-10	-3	-7	15.3	13.5	1.83	16.7	16.9	-0.18
Kareem Rush	61	60	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.06	-19	6	-25	14.5	14.1	0.46	17.0	16.3	0.77

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	61	62	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.05	15	-2	17	16.5	17.3	-0.77	14.7	13.6	1.08
Wally Szczerbiak	44	44	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.01	14	-1	15	16.4	17.1	-0.67	15.2	13.6	1.55
Marko Jaric	36	36	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	3	7	16.2	17.1	-0.92	17.0	12.7	4.25
Richie Frahm	39	41	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.19	15	-2	17	16.6	16.9	-0.25	14.4	14.3	0.13
Michael Olowokandi	54	53	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.01	9	4	5	16.8	16.8	-0.06	14.7	13.9	0.77
Trenton Hassell	40	40	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.04	7	6	1	16.9	16.7	0.30	15.6	13.4	2.25
Troy Hudson	38	40	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.18	13	0	13	16.2	17.2	-1.02	14.7	14.1	0.54
Mark Madsen	33	34	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.13	2	11	-9	17.4	16.5	0.91	14.3	14.4	-0.07
Rashad McCants	48	49	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.13	-1	14	-15	17.1	16.4	0.67	13.6	15.2	-1.55
Eddie Griffin	36	37	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	13	-13	16.7	16.8	-0.10	13.3	15.1	-1.73
Ronald Dupree	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	22	-31	16.7	16.8	-0.11	9.8	15.0	-5.20
Anthony Carter	18	17	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.27	-10	23	-33	19.2	16.2	2.96	8.1	15.8	-7.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 92, ORL 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.99,1	95.9%
CLE 76, SAS 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.83,0.83,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.5%
OKC 90, CHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%