NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	89		Excitement	4.0 [989]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (BOS): +7.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	102		Comeback	1.1 [1055]		LVP	Tony Allen (BOS): -6.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	4	90%	0.08	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	89%	0.09	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	13	62%	0.05	3	-0.04	13	92%	0.02
Michael Finley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	8	55%	0.01	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Kevin Garnett	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	16	47%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Glen Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	3	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Nate Robinson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	14	41%	-0.03	2	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Tony Allen	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.01	14	61%	0.10	3	-0.03	10	70%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	0.01	0.06	10	68%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	22	56%	0.15	4	-0.10	10	90%	0.04
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	6	62%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.02	8	47%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	6	36%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	35.2	3.8	32.8	21.5	35.5	3.6	35.2	167.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +30.2%

LAL +1.0%

LAL +20.9%

BOS -4.1%

LAL +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	LAL	NBA	BOS	LAL	NBA
this game	14.3	17.0	15.3	96.7	110.9	106.0
season	15.5	15.7		105.7	107.9
opponent	15.1	15.7		103.0	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.8	17.3	15.8	11.9	14.3
LAL	15.5	15.5	16.2	21.2	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nate Robinson	23	25	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.20	10	-23	33	15.5	13.9	1.59	17.7	16.7	0.96
Rasheed Wallace	39	37	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-16	19	12.1	16.0	-3.90	17.1	16.9	0.26
Michael Finley	5	4	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-10	7	7.6	14.7	-7.11	14.2	17.1	-2.85
Glen Davis	36	37	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-12	11	12.4	15.5	-3.09	18.1	16.2	1.84
Tony Allen	36	35	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.13	-11	-2	-9	14.2	14.4	-0.26	14.2	18.7	-4.44
Ray Allen	48	49	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-8	3	15.3	13.2	2.11	18.7	15.0	3.63
Kendrick Perkins	43	45	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	1	-15	16.7	12.2	4.45	16.3	17.6	-1.26
Rajon Rondo	76	75	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.03	-17	4	-21	14.2	15.0	-0.82	16.9	17.3	-0.39
Kevin Garnett	66	65	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.08	-14	1	-15	15.1	12.3	2.87	16.7	17.6	-0.92
Paul Pierce	88	88	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.14	-13	0	-13	14.0	20.7	-6.72	17.1	14.0	3.11

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	61	63	0.60	-0.10	0.71	-0.16	26	-13	39	16.9	17.2	-0.28	14.9	13.1	1.79
Pau Gasol	89	89	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.15	13	0	13	16.9	19.0	-2.09	14.3	16.3	-2.07
Derek Fisher	52	53	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.08	18	-5	23	17.0	17.0	-0.04	15.2	13.1	2.08
Kobe Bryant	74	75	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.27	6	7	-1	17.3	15.8	1.42	14.0	15.6	-1.62
Andrew Bynum	52	49	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	2	9	16.7	17.4	-0.70	16.8	11.5	5.24
Lamar Odom	43	46	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	11	-9	17.5	16.5	0.96	11.8	16.8	-4.96
Shannon Brown	35	33	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	13	-13	16.6	17.2	-0.56	14.5	14.2	0.25
Luke Walton	11	9	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.01	1	12	-11	17.7	16.9	0.85	13.1	14.5	-1.35
Jordan Farmar	27	26	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.18	-7	20	-27	17.6	16.7	0.82	12.8	14.9	-2.17
Sasha Vujacic	16	17	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.07	-5	18	-23	15.4	17.3	-1.94	13.5	14.5	-0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 77, PHX 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
LAC 104, OKC 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.83,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.98,1,1,0.99,1	96.4%
CHA 81, ATL 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%