NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	75		Excitement	6.4 [528]		MVP	Donyell Marshall (GSW): +6.2%
Golden State Warriors	80		Comeback	4.3 [148]		LVP	Isaiah Rider (ATL): -17.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.01	22	46%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	8	62%	0.08	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.03
Lorenzen Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	5	58%	0.03	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Jason Terry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	6	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	9	11%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.03	-0.03	8	18%	-0.12	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Isaiah Rider	-0.17	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17	-0.08	-0.08	0.02	24	48%	0.01	5	-0.18	2	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	20	52%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	14	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	62%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Sam Jacobson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03	-0.03	-0.12	0.06	-0.03	24	44%	0.10	5	-0.12	4	100%	0.02
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	10	29%	-0.10	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.05
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.04	-0.02	10	10%	-0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	31.5	16.3	20.5	2.3	30.7	126.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +17.7%

ATL -6.6%

GSW +17.8%

GSW +20.6%

GSW +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	GSW	NBA	ATL	GSW	NBA
this game	17.4	14.6	15.2	84.3	87.9	101.7
season	15.4	14.7		99.3	97.2
opponent	14.7	15.2		105.8	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.6	20.0	19.3	15.9	17.4
GSW	16.0	14.3	12.0	16.1	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	12	13	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.04	3	-8	11	20.0	17.0	3.00	15.5	14.5	0.97
Chris Crawford	22	21	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-6	7	20.0	16.5	3.51	16.1	14.2	1.97
Lorenzen Wright	5	4	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	0	-5	24.4	17.0	7.41	6.7	15.0	-8.24
Dikembe Mutombo	79	83	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.32	6	-11	17	16.8	22.2	-5.40	15.2	8.4	6.85
Jim Jackson	73	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.43	2	-7	9	16.8	20.2	-3.47	15.0	12.8	2.22
Alan Henderson	65	66	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.24	-5	0	-5	16.7	19.2	-2.53	14.3	15.5	-1.23
LaPhonso Ellis	32	33	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.21	-8	3	-11	18.5	16.8	1.66	13.9	15.0	-1.13
Isaiah Rider	78	80	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.27	-9	4	-13	17.4	17.1	0.36	14.2	17.9	-3.73
Bimbo Coles	79	81	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.34	-10	5	-15	17.1	19.8	-2.70	14.5	15.6	-1.09

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mookie Blaylock	83	81	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.31	11	-6	17	14.0	21.0	-6.99	17.4	17.7	-0.38
Larry Hughes	87	85	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.32	9	-4	13	14.6	15.2	-0.65	17.5	14.5	3.04
Vonteego Cummings	45	43	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.34	8	-3	11	14.9	14.3	0.56	17.9	17.0	0.93
Jason Caffey	62	62	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.42	4	1	3	14.7	14.5	0.16	16.7	19.1	-2.45
Donyell Marshall	83	81	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.35	5	0	5	14.8	12.7	2.06	17.5	16.5	0.99
Erick Dampier	61	61	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	5	-5	13.4	17.2	-3.79	17.8	16.5	1.37
Adonal Foyle	12	11	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	6	-7	16.8	14.3	2.54	17.2	17.4	-0.25
Sam Jacobson	4	4	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	9	-13	15.2	14.6	0.65	14.5	17.5	-3.04
Billy Owens	18	17	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.03	-7	12	-19	18.5	13.7	4.83	17.2	17.4	-0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.41,0.37,0.48,0.38,0.26,0.43,0.43,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 92, MIL 94	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.77,0.86,0.89,0.69,0.84,1	92.4%
DET 89, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.23,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.48,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.86,0.99,1,0.98,1,1	92.4%
GSW 92, NJN 97	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.73,0.69,0.88,0.88,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,1	92.1%