NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	89		Excitement	6.1 [560]		MVP	Shandon Anderson (UTA): +15.7%
Utah Jazz	98		Comeback	5.1 [493]		LVP	Grant Hill (DET): -28.4%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Sealy	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.05	0.02	4	90%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eric Montross	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	4	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	12	53%	0.04	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.00
Steve Henson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Mahorn	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Joe Dumars	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	13	43%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Grant Long	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	2	12%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03
Bison Dele	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	15	53%	0.05	5	-0.15	4	100%	0.02
Grant Hill	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.18,-0.27,-0.29,-0.25,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27,-0.29,-0.29,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.14	-0.11	0.04	23	42%	-0.26	1	-0.02	16	62%	-0.10

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.07	0.00	4	100%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.05	0.08	-0.04	13	43%	0.09	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.00	4	67%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	15	62%	0.07	2	-0.03	18	78%	-0.02
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	7	43%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	3	75%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.01	-0.03	13	43%	0.04	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	7	37%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	0.00	10	20%	-0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.3	25.4	15.3	29.5	2.5	31.9	133.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +32.8%

UTA +13.1%

UTA +4.0%

UTA +4.1%

DET -4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	UTA	NBA	DET	UTA	NBA
this game	16.8	16.3	15.6	103.5	111.4	102.5
season	15.9	15.9		102.8	108.1
opponent	15.9	15.9		102.1	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.3	15.7	21.2	15.0	16.8
UTA	19.0	16.3	12.5	17.7	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Long	48	49	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-12	15	18.1	15.1	3.02	17.3	15.1	2.18
Steve Henson	1	1	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-9	9	5.0	16.9	-11.93	0.0	16.5	-16.51
Eric Montross	29	32	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-6	3	15.8	17.3	-1.56	18.0	15.3	2.69
Jerry Stackhouse	75	78	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.20	0	-9	9	16.7	17.5	-0.87	16.1	18.1	-2.01
Malik Sealy	53	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.03	-9	0	-9	16.8	16.8	-0.04	15.8	17.1	-1.23
Grant Hill	71	73	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	-8	7	16.5	18.1	-1.55	16.5	15.3	1.19
Rick Mahorn	16	15	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.05	-11	2	-13	18.9	16.3	2.64	12.1	17.2	-5.04
Bison Dele	73	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.26	-8	-1	-7	16.7	17.2	-0.52	16.0	18.1	-2.17
Joe Dumars	64	65	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.20	-16	7	-23	16.4	17.8	-1.38	16.8	15.0	1.84

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Stockton	60	60	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.24	8	1	7	17.0	14.9	2.09	17.5	15.1	2.46
Shandon Anderson	30	31	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.18	9	0	9	17.8	15.6	2.20	16.9	16.7	0.13
Karl Malone	69	68	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.16	9	0	9	15.8	18.2	-2.41	16.9	16.5	0.37
Chris Morris	38	37	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.19	7	2	5	16.5	16.2	0.37	16.4	17.1	-0.68
Antoine Carr	43	42	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	6	-3	16.5	16.2	0.29	15.4	18.1	-2.71
Greg Foster	23	20	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	6	-3	15.7	16.5	-0.84	15.4	17.2	-1.81
Greg Ostertag	41	42	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.03	3	6	-3	17.4	15.4	2.01	18.7	15.0	3.76
Bryon Russell	50	49	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	7	-5	16.2	16.5	-0.37	17.1	16.4	0.68
Jeff Hornacek	58	55	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	9	-9	15.6	17.8	-2.20	16.7	16.9	-0.13
Howard Eisley	28	26	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.00	1	8	-7	14.9	17.0	-2.09	15.1	17.5	-2.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.23,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.48,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.86,0.99,1,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 86, CLE 96	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.32,0.33,0.39,0.48,0.41,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.66,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.7,0.8,0.86,0.93,0.98,1,1,1	93.4%
MIA 94, OKC 105	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.3,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.94,0.97,0.96,1,1	93.4%
OKC 77, LAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.26,0.24,0.32,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.78,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	92.8%