NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	74		Excitement	3.8 [641]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (GSW): +4.0%
Golden State Warriors	93		Comeback	1.3 [619]		LVP	Antonio McDyess (DEN): -17.8%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cory Alexander	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	150%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Washington	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	8	50%	0.02	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.06	7	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Johnny Taylor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	-0.07	17	43%	-0.01	3	-0.01	3	67%	0.00
Danny Fortson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.06	9	73%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.00
Bryant Stith	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	8	32%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Carl Herrera	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.17	-0.02	-0.03	10	18%	-0.11	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Antonio McDyess	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.16	-0.02	0.00	13	38%	-0.13	2	-0.04	13	38%	-0.09

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.09	0.01	-0.12	16	44%	0.04	4	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.03	6	77%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	4	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	11	59%	0.05	2	-0.04	7	14%	-0.08
Donyell Marshall	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	14	60%	0.03	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Felton Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	11	32%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	10	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	12	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	0.02	8	50%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.6	26.2	14.7	23.2	1.6	23.2	117.0
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +32.4%

DEN -5.1%

GSW +19.0%

GSW +0.7%

GSW +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	GSW	NBA	DEN	GSW	NBA
this game	15.9	14.6	15.8	78.7	97.9	99.6
season	15.5	15.9		100.7	95.1
opponent	15.5	15.6		98.1	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	13.8	16.9	17.2	16.0	15.9
GSW	13.4	14.4	14.1	16.7	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cory Alexander	12	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-21	23	14.3	16.1	-1.79	17.2	14.2	3.05
Carl Herrera	17	18	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-20	21	15.6	15.9	-0.30	16.9	14.0	2.91
Johnny Taylor	64	64	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.03	-2	-17	15	15.9	15.9	0.04	15.5	12.8	2.65
Eric Washington	52	54	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-15	11	15.9	15.9	0.07	15.7	13.1	2.58
Antonio McDyess	65	67	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.15	-16	-3	-13	15.9	15.9	-0.05	13.6	16.9	-3.32
Nick Van Exel	63	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.15	-18	-1	-17	16.3	15.0	1.33	13.3	17.3	-4.01
Bryant Stith	69	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.15	-19	0	-19	15.9	15.9	0.02	14.4	15.1	-0.68
Chauncey Billups	79	79	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.02	-18	-1	-17	15.8	16.4	-0.60	14.7	13.9	0.86
Danny Fortson	49	49	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.06	-21	2	-23	15.9	15.9	0.05	13.8	15.4	-1.64

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bimbo Coles	62	60	0.68	-0.18	0.87	-0.23	31	-12	43	14.9	14.1	0.76	16.9	14.0	2.92
Erick Dampier	63	65	0.65	-0.15	0.80	-0.17	28	-9	37	14.8	14.2	0.61	16.4	14.8	1.64
John Starks	48	50	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.07	21	-2	23	13.1	16.1	-2.92	16.3	15.4	0.91
Donyell Marshall	55	55	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.09	19	0	19	14.0	15.4	-1.40	16.7	14.8	1.83
Antawn Jamison	63	62	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.22	20	-1	21	14.0	15.7	-1.70	15.2	17.3	-2.10
Adonal Foyle	39	36	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	19	-19	13.8	15.1	-1.26	14.9	16.5	-1.58
Terry Cummings	39	38	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.03	3	16	-13	15.4	14.0	1.44	16.9	15.2	1.64
Felton Spencer	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	23	-27	12.9	14.7	-1.87	11.0	16.3	-5.29
Tony Delk	8	8	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.17	-9	28	-37	11.9	14.8	-2.96	11.7	16.3	-4.53
Chris Mills	52	51	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.09	-7	26	-33	16.4	12.4	4.05	15.1	16.8	-1.70
Muggsy Bogues	39	38	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.08	-7	26	-33	15.7	13.8	1.87	15.6	16.1	-0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.84,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 74, CLE 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.86,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
PHI 95, DET 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.61,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.72,0.81,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,0.98,1,1,1	96.0%
DET 75, MIA 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%