NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	75		Excitement	3.4 [892]		MVP	James Jones (MIA): +12.4%
Miami Heat	98		Comeback	1.4 [1010]		LVP	Mario Chalmers (MIA): -8.5%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	64%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Knight	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	12	57%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Jonas Jerebko	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.02	-0.06	6	21%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Austin Daye	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	6	33%	-0.01	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	12	33%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	4	50%	0.00	4	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	8	61%	-0.00	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	13	35%	-0.01	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.03
Jason Maxiell	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.03	6	44%	-0.04	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.19	0.01	0.08	8	112%	0.12	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	22	53%	0.10	1	-0.02	5	20%	-0.05
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	18	48%	0.04	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dexter Pittman	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	71%	0.00	0	0.00	8	75%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	6	44%	0.01	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.00
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	4	25%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	-0.00	-0.07	5	0%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrel Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	9	44%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.6	30.6	17.7	27.3	2.5	31.6	139.3
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +18.6%

DET -3.1%

MIA +19.8%

MIA +13.3%

MIA +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	MIA	NBA	DET	MIA	NBA
this game	16.0	15.6	15.6	82.4	107.7	102.8
season	16.3	15.5		99.5	105.6
opponent	15.8	15.4		98.8	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.7	17.4	15.9	14.2	16.0
MIA	16.0	13.9	17.6	15.1	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Daye	26	29	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-24	25	13.2	17.2	-3.94	15.4	15.7	-0.33
Will Bynum	37	37	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.22	-8	-15	7	14.8	16.9	-2.17	14.6	16.3	-1.66
Ben Wallace	31	33	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-23	23	15.9	16.1	-0.26	16.0	15.4	0.57
Jonas Jerebko	46	46	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.07	-6	-17	11	14.1	18.1	-4.00	15.8	15.4	0.32
Damien Wilkins	21	23	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.07	-7	-16	9	13.8	16.7	-2.90	13.2	16.4	-3.19
Ben Gordon	41	41	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.04	-4	-19	15	15.7	16.3	-0.57	16.4	15.0	1.39
Tayshaun Prince	55	51	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.21	-19	-4	-15	16.9	14.7	2.23	16.2	14.9	1.30
Rodney Stuckey	50	50	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.10	-16	-7	-9	17.4	14.3	3.10	16.0	15.1	0.97
Jason Maxiell	46	47	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.20	-20	-3	-17	16.7	15.4	1.23	14.5	16.8	-2.26
Greg Monroe	49	46	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.19	-21	-2	-19	17.6	14.2	3.40	16.0	15.2	0.89
Brandon Knight	53	52	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.02	-15	-8	-7	17.1	14.6	2.43	16.1	14.9	1.24

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Bosh	54	56	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.36	30	-7	37	15.8	15.3	0.52	18.1	12.7	5.36
Ronny Turiaf	39	40	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.14	20	3	17	15.6	15.6	-0.03	18.2	14.4	3.80
Mario Chalmers	57	56	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.36	27	-4	31	16.1	14.7	1.39	17.0	14.5	2.58
Shane Battier	42	44	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.15	19	4	15	16.1	15.2	0.87	17.6	14.6	3.08
LeBron James	58	59	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.02	10	13	-3	15.9	15.1	0.81	16.8	14.7	2.14
James Jones	47	45	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.23	18	5	13	14.7	16.6	-1.95	15.4	16.6	-1.19
Mike Miller	49	47	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	19	-15	15.2	16.1	-0.87	14.6	17.6	-3.08
Terrel Harris	22	24	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.25	-6	29	-35	15.7	15.6	0.16	16.7	15.8	0.90
Udonis Haslem	38	37	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.08	-1	24	-25	16.7	14.8	1.85	15.4	16.5	-1.12
Juwan Howard	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	21	-19	14.0	15.8	-1.83	9.5	16.9	-7.39
Dexter Pittman	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	28	-33	16.6	15.5	1.05	7.7	16.7	-9.02
Norris Cole	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	21	-19	12.9	16.0	-3.10	9.5	16.9	-7.39
Joel Anthony	19	18	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.01	-5	28	-33	14.9	15.8	-0.90	12.5	16.9	-4.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 87, CHH 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
SAC 74, CLE 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.86,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
PHI 95, DET 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.61,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.72,0.81,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,0.98,1,1,1	96.0%