inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 87 Excitement3.3 [1088] MVPMatt Geiger (CHH): +3.3%
Charlotte Hornets 109 Comeback1.2 [780] LVPLaPhonso Ellis (DEN): -12.2%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Battie0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.070.000.05876%0.021-0.011100%0.00
Joe Wolf0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eric Washington-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.02425%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Anthony Goldwire-0.010,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.05-0.010.061258%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Johnny Newman-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.021057%0.033-0.061090%0.02
Danny Fortson-0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.000.01667%-0.003-0.04667%-0.00
Bobby Jackson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.13-0.01-0.091041%0.005-0.05250%-0.00
Dean Garrett-0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.09-0.01-0.03425%-0.023-0.0400%0.00
Cory Alexander-0.120,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.06-0.030.02850%-0.004-0.1100%0.00
LaPhonso Ellis-0.120,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.01-0.01933%-0.063-0.063100%0.01

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Matt Geiger0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.01690%0.094-0.068100%0.04
Travis Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.040.00-0.05833%0.0100.002100%0.01
David Wesley0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.00-0.001155%0.032-0.0300%0.00
B.J. Armstrong0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.00350%-0.0000.0020%-0.01
Glen Rice0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.000.01961%0.021-0.021090%0.03
J.R. Reid0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.05-0.010.05967%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Bobby Phills0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.06-0.00-0.03850%0.003-0.03250%-0.01
Corey Beck0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.000.00540%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Vernon Maxwell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.02542%-0.042-0.0020%-0.03
Dell Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.08-0.000.121272%-0.022-0.021100%0.00
Vlade Divac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.13-0.01-0.06722%-0.052-0.034100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.41.524.515.528.52.523.3122.2
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHH +6.7%
CHH +8.7%
CHH +20.7%
CHH +13.9%
DEN -0.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENCHHNBADENCHHNBA
this game15.713.215.687.0110.1102.5
season16.215.796.7104.0
opponent15.915.2102.6109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN16.216.316.314.115.7
CHH13.812.512.314.213.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Battie46470.08-0.580.66-0.199-314014.217.0-2.8014.412.12.25
Eric Washington3132-0.01-0.490.47-0.134-263013.116.9-3.8214.612.52.10
Bobby Jackson5151-0.02-0.480.47-0.103-252813.518.1-4.6114.212.12.09
Joe Wolf3533-0.24-0.260.030.20-15-7-815.815.70.1513.213.2-0.03
Dean Garrett4643-0.27-0.23-0.040.20-16-6-1017.714.13.5612.513.7-1.18
Johnny Newman5957-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.00-10-12215.116.7-1.6212.813.7-0.85
Danny Fortson4648-0.32-0.18-0.140.06-13-9-415.715.8-0.1012.913.5-0.51
Cory Alexander6766-0.44-0.06-0.370.33-264-3017.212.84.3913.013.7-0.74
LaPhonso Ellis4747-0.49-0.01-0.470.13-21-1-2017.314.33.0412.713.6-0.87
Anthony Goldwire7271-0.510.01-0.520.23-253-2816.314.22.1512.515.1-2.61

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
J.R. Reid68700.430.070.35-0.222202212.913.9-1.0216.613.72.90
Matt Geiger60600.410.090.31-0.00148612.713.9-1.2316.814.12.76
David Wesley49480.390.110.29-0.081661012.813.6-0.8816.714.91.80
Glen Rice58600.300.200.110.011012-213.113.3-0.2416.015.30.72
Dell Curry40380.230.27-0.03-0.091111013.113.2-0.0914.516.5-2.03
Bobby Phills56570.210.29-0.08-0.141210213.313.10.1916.814.42.38
Travis Williams26250.180.32-0.140.03517-1213.013.3-0.3314.416.2-1.72
Vlade Divac50520.170.33-0.16-0.24148613.712.70.9715.715.8-0.16
Corey Beck20200.070.43-0.350.04121-2014.312.91.4413.416.3-2.85
Vernon Maxwell30310.070.43-0.36-0.02319-1613.912.90.9513.516.7-3.16
B.J. Armstrong38390.030.47-0.43-0.03220-1813.613.00.6514.416.6-2.12


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 102, POR 1200.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
CHI 86, DAL 1050.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%
DET 75, MIA 980.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%