NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	95		Excitement	4.3 [910]		MVP	Terry Mills (DET): +7.4%
Detroit Pistons	104		Comeback	1.4 [836]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (PHI): -19.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Don MacLean	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.12	-0.00	0.08	13	75%	0.07	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Doug Overton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	64%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Joe Courtney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Caldwell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rex Walters	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.03	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Hendrickson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Michael Cage	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.00	0.05	5	60%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	16	50%	0.01	3	-0.05	6	50%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	10	42%	-0.06	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.03
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.24	-0.02	-0.06	19	39%	-0.08	6	-0.12	11	45%	-0.04

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.01	9	72%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Dumars	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.02	11	63%	0.07	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	12	59%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Randolph Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.11	0.00	-0.13	22	46%	0.08	5	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Don Reid	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	14	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	3	12%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Otis Thorpe	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.01	-0.04	8	45%	0.01	4	-0.06	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	19.8	2.3	24.6	15.7	29.1	2.8	31.3	125.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +40.6%

DET +7.3%

PHI -6.4%

DET +8.1%

DET +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DET	NBA	PHI	DET	NBA
this game	14.4	16.4	15.6	101.1	111.8	104.4
season	14.7	17.1		101.4	107.6
opponent	16.2	14.7		102.0	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.5	13.7	15.6	11.9	14.4
DET	16.2	13.4	15.0	21.4	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Courtney	7	6	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-9	9	13.3	14.5	-1.25	14.2	16.5	-2.35
Adrian Caldwell	19	18	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-7	5	11.7	15.1	-3.46	13.1	17.2	-4.10
Lucious Harris	46	46	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.25	7	-16	23	11.7	17.0	-5.30	16.9	15.8	1.08
Doug Overton	21	19	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-6	3	13.5	14.7	-1.19	17.2	16.1	1.06
Mark Hendrickson	19	19	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.24	6	-15	21	12.5	14.9	-2.41	21.5	15.0	6.49
Don MacLean	53	53	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.22	4	-13	17	12.2	17.3	-5.09	16.8	15.7	1.08
Michael Cage	39	38	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	1	-11	17.6	12.2	5.46	15.7	16.8	-1.11
Allen Iverson	73	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.26	-6	-3	-3	14.7	13.5	1.19	16.1	17.2	-1.06
Clar. Weatherspoon	53	51	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.07	-18	9	-27	16.7	11.5	5.25	15.6	17.2	-1.59
Rex Walters	53	54	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.05	-14	5	-19	16.1	12.4	3.69	15.9	17.1	-1.18
Jerry Stackhouse	87	87	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.21	-9	0	-9	14.5	13.3	1.25	16.5	14.2	2.35

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Ratliff	67	68	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.09	16	-7	23	17.0	14.8	2.11	15.0	12.9	2.16
Grant Hill	87	88	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.22	9	0	9	16.4	15.2	1.28	14.7	10.5	4.22
Joe Dumars	63	63	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.17	10	-1	11	16.2	16.7	-0.44	15.4	12.5	2.83
Lindsey Hunter	75	75	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.10	11	-2	13	15.2	21.3	-6.16	14.7	13.3	1.48
Terry Mills	53	54	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.14	6	3	3	17.2	15.3	1.91	13.9	15.1	-1.22
Otis Thorpe	48	49	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.00	8	1	7	15.0	17.8	-2.82	16.6	12.1	4.48
Randolph Childress	19	19	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.16	-3	12	-15	19.4	15.6	3.77	12.6	14.9	-2.28
Don Reid	0	1	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	9	-9	0.0	16.4	-16.37	2.0	14.6	-12.58
Michael Curry	29	30	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	10	-11	16.2	16.5	-0.28	11.7	15.7	-3.99
Aaron McKie	24	23	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.27	-11	20	-31	17.3	16.0	1.25	10.3	15.8	-5.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.61,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.72,0.81,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 78, MIA 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
ORL 85, GSW 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.59,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.92,0.84,0.9,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
DEN 74, GSW 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.84,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%